Exxon Mobil Corporation Stock Price Targets
Comprehensive analysis of short, mid, and long-term price targets for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM).
Give me a comprehensive price target analysis for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM).
I have successfully plotted the horizontal trendlines extending 30 days into the future for Exxon Mobil (XOM):
- Low Target ($95): Green line
- Median Target ($124.50): Blue line
- High Target ($145): Red line
Executive Summary
Exxon Mobil (XOM) exhibits a resilient valuation with solid fundamentals, including low P/E ratio, strong cash position, and attractive dividend yield. Technical signals suggest stability with some upward momentum potential. The current share price of approximately $109.23 sits between the median and high analyst targets, giving room for upside.
Fundamental Analysis
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | ~$466 billion |
| P/E Ratio (Trailing) | ~15.52 |
| Price-to-Book | ~1.77 |
| Return on Equity | 11.83% |
| Debt-to-Equity | 14.44 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.65% |
| Beta | 0.502 |
Exxon demonstrates strong financial health, with manageable debt levels relative to equity and consistent cash flow. Its valuation metrics are attractive compared to industry peers, supporting a favorable outlook.
Earnings Analysis
Recent earnings have shown resilience, with net income around $7.1 billion in June 2025. EPS has displayed a slight declining trend over the past quarter but remains stable on the annual basis (+1 year trend indicates growth from 6.52 to 7.54). Analyst EPS revisions are predominantly upward (+13 over 1 year), indicating positive sentiment.
Earnings quality appears robust with consistent revenue and profit margins (~9.4%), emphasizing earnings sustainability.
Technical Analysis
The stock's current price (~$109.23) lies above the 50-day moving average (~108.5), indicating short-term bullish momentum. RSI (~52.9) suggests a neutral stance with room for upward movement. MACD readings show a slight bullish crossover, aligning with potential continued growth.
Analyst Consensus & Price Targets
| Metrics | Values |
|---|---|
| Number of Analysts | 24 |
| High | $145.00 |
| Median | $124.50 |
| Low | $95.00 |
| Current Price | $109.23 |
Aggregate sentiment favors moderate optimism with room for upside toward the median and high targets.
Price Target Analysis
| Time Horizon | Price Target | Justification & Key Drivers |
|---|---|---|
| Short-Term (3 months) | ~$115 | Technical momentum, stable earnings, and positive sentiment support near-term gains. Key drivers include oil price stabilization and ongoing demand recovery. |
| Mid-Term (12 months) | ~$124.50 | The median analyst target suggests potential appreciation driven by oil industry growth, easing macroeconomic pressures, and Exxon’s operational stability. |
| Long-Term (3+ years) | ~$145 | High analyst target reflects confidence in long-term oil demand, Exxon’s strategic investments, and energy transition opportunities. Sustainability of dividends and shareholder returns also underpin this view. |
Key Risks & Opportunities
- Risks: Volatility in oil prices, regulatory challenges, and macroeconomic slowdown could impair gains.
- Opportunities: Oil price recovery, expansion in renewable energy investments, and potential dividends growth.
Investment Recommendation
Hold to Moderate Buy for a 12-24 month horizon, given the stock’s current valuation, technical stability, and upward analyst targets. Expect potential returns of approximately 10-30%, with more substantial upside toward the high target over the long-term.
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