Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Technical Analysis & Key Levels

In-depth technical analysis of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA): trend structure, support and resistance levels, MA50/MA200 alignment, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and 52-week high/low. Updated 2025-09-22.

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Provide a pure technical analysis for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA). Focus on trend, support/resistance, MA crossovers, RSI and MACD. Draw horizontal lines for Support and resistance.

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) – Technical Analysis (as of 2025-09-22)

Current price and context

  • Current Price: 426.07
  • Context: TSLA has resumed a strong upmove over the past 6–8 weeks, with price trading well above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages (MA50 ~340.3; MA200 ~332.8). The bounce from the 320s–340s region into the 420–426 area shows solid bullish momentum, but the RSI has surged into overbought territory (~86.0 on the latest reading), signaling potential near-term consolidation or a pullback. MACD remains positive and expanding, supporting the uptrend, though a pause is plausible given overbought conditions.

Summary Snapshot

  • Overall Score (0–20): 13 (Hold)
  • Rationale: The uptrend is intact with a strong price/runway above major MAs and a positive MACD, but near-term momentum is overbought (RSI ~86), suggesting a risk of a shallow pullback or sideways consolidation before resuming higher.
  • Key Levels:
    • Support 1 (S1): 329.40
    • Support 2 (S2): 346.40
    • Resistance 1 (R1): 395.90
    • Resistance 2 (R2): 421.60
  • Near-Term Outlook:
    • Bullish triggers: Clear sustained move above 421.60 with increased volume, targeting a test toward the next psychological/technical level around 435–450 (and possibly 480+ on a sustained breakout later).
    • Bearish/invalidation: Break below 395.90 (or below the more conservative mid-340s region) could open a deeper retracement toward the S2/S1 area around 346–330, with a potential retest of the 320s–340s zone discussed in the prior range.

Technical Analysis

Market structure and trend

  • Structure: After a mid-summer pullback into the 320s, TSLA established higher highs and higher lows from August into September, culminating in a fresh high near 426. The recent rally shows a sequence of higher peaks (410–426 region) and higher troughs (roughly 346–395 in the recent progression), indicative of a bullish structure with pullback support near the $330–350 area.
  • Trend stance: Uptrend remains intact as price sits well above MA50 and MA200.

Moving averages

  • MA relationships: Price is well above MA50 (approx 340) and MA200 (approx 333), with both MAs sloping upward. The bullish separation between price and the MAs supports continuation unless a meaningful pullback occurs toward the MA region.
  • Crossovers: No immediate MA crossover signal is needed; the current configuration is bullish as long as price remains above both MAs.

Momentum

  • RSI (14): 86.0 (latest). Indicates an overbought condition, suggesting a higher probability of near-term consolidation or brief pullback before continuing the upside.
  • MACD (12,26,9): MACD ~24.0, Signal ~16.3, Histogram ~7.7. Positive, widening, and historically supportive of further upside as long as price remains above key supports.

Key levels (reasoning)

  • Supports:
    • S1: 329.40 (early Sep dip; first major touch in the current rally window)
    • S2: 346.40 (near interim consolidation / pullback zone observed around Sep 8–9)
  • Resistances:
    • R2 (lower resistance): 395.90 (prior high-press region around Sep 12 with price rejection firms the level)
    • R1 (upper resistance): 421.60 (recent intraday highs around Sep 16–19; current price sits just below/at this vicinity)

Scenarios and invalidation

  • Bullish scenario: Price closes decisively above 421.60 with volume confirmation; next targets ~435–450 near the next cluster of highs, with a longer-term target toward the 460–480 zone on a sustained breakout.
  • Bearish/invalidation scenario: A break and close below 395.90 weakens the immediate bull thesis, opening a path toward 346.40–329.40 and possibly back toward the 320s, depending on volume and broader market context.

Notes on reference lines

  • 52-Week High: 488.54
  • 52-Week Low: 212.11
  • The current analysis uses the immediate structural levels above; a separate long-horizon reference line at or near 488.54 could be added for longer-term framing, but is not essential to the near-term framework.

Horizontal levels drawn (extensions 100 days forward)

  • Support 1: 329.40 (blue; earliest touch 2025-09-02) extending to 2025-12-11.
  • Support 2: 346.40 (green; earliest touch 2025-09-08) extending to 2025-12-16.
  • Resistance 2: 395.90 (purple; earliest touch 2025-09-12) extending to 2026-01-20.
  • Resistance 1: 421.60 (orange; earliest touch 2025-09-16) extending to 2026-01-24.

Technical notes on the charted lines

  • Data-driven placement anchors:
    • S1 at 329.4 with touch on 2025-09-02 and extended to 2025-12-11.
    • S2 at 346.4 with touch on 2025-09-08 and extended to 2025-12-16.
    • R2 at 395.9 with touch on 2025-09-12 and extended to 2026-01-20.
    • R1 at 421.6 with touch on 2025-09-16 and extended to 2026-01-24.

Deliverable notes

  • The four lines have been drawn to reflect the identified levels:
    • Support 1: 329.40
    • Support 2: 346.40
    • Resistance 1: 421.60
    • Resistance 2: 395.90
  • Colors assigned to differentiate supports and resistances:
    • S1: blue (#1E90FF)
    • S2: green (#00FA9A)
    • R1: orange (#FF4500)
    • R2: violet (#8A2BE2)

If you’d like, I can extend or adjust the levels (for example, add approximate rounded-number levels at 430 or 440 if you want a broader higher-resistance view) or include a 52-week reference line for longer-term framing.

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