Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Technical Analysis & Key Levels

In-depth technical analysis of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA): trend structure, support and resistance levels, MA50/MA200 alignment, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and 52-week high/low. Updated 2025-09-21.

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Provide a pure technical analysis for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA). Focus on trend, support/resistance, MA crossovers, RSI and MACD. Draw horizontal lines for Support and resistance.

Technical Analysis — TSLA Date: 2025-09-21

Summary

  • Short- to intermediate-term trend: bullish within an uptrend phase from ~320 to ~426 over the last ~1.5 months; price remains well above both MA levels, suggesting constructive momentum.
  • Momentum and timing: RSI recently moved into overbought territory (~86 on 2025-09-19), with MACD rising and histogram expanding, indicating strong upside momentum but with risk of a consolidation pullback.
  • Key levels: defined supports near 310–320 and 320–330, and resistances near 430 and 460. Also positioning reference lines at the 52-week high/low for longer-term context.

Technical Analysis

  1. Market Structure and Trend
  • Short-term trend (last ~60 days): Higher highs and higher lows prominent as price recovered from mid-August into September, climbing from the low-320s toward the mid-420s.
  • Intermediate-term trend (2y perspective): Upward drift with corrective pauses; price recently continued higher, indicating an ongoing bullish framework until proven otherwise by a reversal below defined supports.
  • Structure note: No violation of the immediate demand zone near 310–320; the pullbacks have been shallow relative to the rally from 320 to 426.
  1. Moving Averages
  • MA50 (≈340 in current print) is clearly above MA200 (≈333). The price sits above both, confirming a bullish posture.
  • No MA crossovers observed within the last 60 days to suggest a regime change; the gap between price and both MAs remains substantial, supporting continued upside potential until a consolidation or breakout failure occurs.
  1. Momentum
  • RSI(14): Recently in overbought territory (peaking around 86 on 2025-09-19), signaling short-term overextension risks and potential for a near-term consolidation or pullback.
  • MACD (12,26,9): MACD line well above its signal line with a widening histogram, indicating robust positive momentum and increasing bullish pace. No imminent MACD bearish cross indicated in the current window.
  1. Key Levels (Supports and Resistances)
  • Supports (horizontal):
    • Support 1 (S1): 320.0
      • Rationale: Earliest clear touch in the last up-swing around the 320 area; price recently rebounded when testing this zone in August–September 2025; color: green (#00FF00).
    • Support 2 (S2): 310.0
      • Rationale: Proximity to prior intraday/closing tests in the 310–315 region within the last 60 days; provides an additional buffer below the most recent swing lows; color: green (#00A000).
  • Resistances (horizontal):
    • Resistance 1 (R1): 430.0
      • Rationale: Round-number psychological resistance near the recent intraday highs (around the 426–430 area in Sep 2025); aligns with price congestion around late Aug–Sept; color: orange-red (#FF4500).
    • Resistance 2 (R2): 460.0
      • Rationale: Higher-interval congestion and prior swing highs in the 450–460 band; if price clears 430, this band represents the next logical resistance zone; color: purple (#8A2BE2).
  • Reference levels (52-Week boundaries):
    • 52-Week High: 488.54
      • Context: Long-run upside limit, potential extension target in a sustained uptrend; color: blue (#1E90FF).
    • 52-Week Low: 212.11
      • Context: Long-run downside anchor; provides a yardstick for retrace risk and drawdown potential; color: green-blue (#2ECC71).

Note on lines drawn

  • Lines have been drawn to extend 100 days forward from the level’s start date, using the specified colors:
    • S1 at 320 (green): extended to 100 days forward
    • S2 at 310 (green): extended to 100 days forward
    • R1 at 430 (orange-red): extended to 100 days forward
    • R2 at 460 (purple): extended to 100 days forward
    • 52W High at 488.54 (blue): extended to 100 days forward
    • 52W Low at 212.11 (green): extended to 100 days forward

Notes on drawing

  • No lines were drawn for Current Price or MA levels (per instruction).
  • The lines are labeled conceptually as “Support 1/2, Resistance 1/2” in your chart view; the exact on-chart labels may vary by platform. The stated values correspond to the rows above.

Deliverables (Specific levels)

  • Supports:
    • S1: 320.0
      • Why it matters: First major floor observed in the latest rally, shallow pullbacks held here.
    • S2: 310.0
      • Why it matters: Secondary buffer below S1, aligning with prior testing zone.
  • Resistances:
    • R1: 430.0
      • Why it matters: Psychological and technical resistance near recent highs; potential short-term cap.
    • R2: 460.0
      • Why it matters: Higher-term balance area; requires a larger breakout above prior congestion.
  • 52-Week High/Low:
    • 52-Week High: 488.54
    • 52-Week Low: 212.11

Table: Key levels (summary)

  • Level | Type | Price | Rationale
  • S1 | Support | 320.0 | Early touch in the current up-cycle; near-term bullish base
  • S2 | Support | 310.0 | Additional support beneath S1
  • R1 | Resistance | 430.0 | Near-term top of recent range; psychological level
  • R2 | Resistance | 460.0 | Next congestion band above R1
  • 52W High | Reference | 488.54 | Long-run upside target against breadth of rally
  • 52W Low | Reference | 212.11 | Long-run downside anchor

Scenarios and invalidation

  • Bullish scenario:
    • Trigger: Break and close above R1 (430) with sustained daily closes above 430, ideally 2–3 consecutive sessions.
    • Targets: 460 (R2) then 488.54 (52W High) as potential next milestones; invalidate on a daily close below S1 (320) or a drop below S2 (310) on a weekly basis.
  • Bearish scenario:
    • Trigger: Break and close below S2 (310) with confirmation (e.g., a weekly close below 310 after a retest).
    • Potential near-term downside: 300–295 region or lower; invalidate on a strong reclaim above R1 (430) with a close above 435–440.

MACRO context (purely technical)

  • Trend context remains bullish while price holds above the major supports (S1/S2) and continues to produce higher highs in the recent window.
  • Momentum indicators warn of short-term risk of overbought conditions (RSI > 70 currently, with RSI near 86). Watch for a consolidation that could base above S1.
  • If price sustains above 430 and MACD stays positive with a rising histogram, the path toward 460 and beyond remains plausible.

Charts/drawings

  • Horizontal lines drawn (distinct colors as noted) at:
    • 320 (Support 1) – green
    • 310 (Support 2) – green
    • 430 (Resistance 1) – orange-red
    • 460 (Resistance 2) – purple
    • 488.54 (52-Week High) – blue
    • 212.11 (52-Week Low) – green
  • 52-Week lines are reference levels (not price targets) and are extended 100 days forward as requested.

If you’d like, I can adjust the levels based on alternative touchpoints from the attached 3mo/2y views (e.g., tighten S1/S2 around other minor lows from the chart, or shift R1/R2 to align with intraday congestion).

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