Oracle Corporation Stock Price Targets

I have drawn horizontal price-target lines for the requested Low, Median, and High levels and prepared a comprehensive Oracle (ORCL) stock analysis. The lines were extended 30 days into the future from today (2025-10-10) to 2025-11-09, using distinct colors.

Price-target lines drawn

Low Target: 175.14 (green)
Median Target: 347.00 (blue)
High Target: 415.00 (red)

Note: The lines were plotted with p1 at 2025-10-10 and p2 at 2025-11-09 to extend across the right edge of the chart.

Comprehensive Price Target Analysis for ORCL As of 2025-10-10

Executive Summary

Oracle (ORCL) is positioned as a diversified software and cloud services provider with ongoing cloud transformation and strong cash generation. The stock trades at a forward multiple that implies growth in Oracle Cloud Infrastructure and on-prem/off-prem product mix can support margin expansion and durable cash flow.
The price targets imply meaningful upside under a base case, with potential for further upside if cloud transition accelerates or if capital allocation (buybacks, dividends) supports valuation.
Key near-term uncertainty includes leverage dynamics, cloud competition, and macro normalization affecting enterprise IT spending. The market appears to be pricing a mix of continued cloud growth and steady profitability, with multiple analysts showing a wide range of outcomes.

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation and Size
- Market Cap: 846.57B
- Enterprise Value: 921.33B
- P/E (Trailing): 68.58x
- P/E (Forward): 41.47x
- Price/Book: 34.93x
- Beta: 1.531
Profitability and Returns
- Profit Margin: 21.08%
- Gross Margin: 69.66%
- Operating Margin: 31.38%
- Return on Equity (ROE): 69.24%
- Return on Assets (ROA): 7.15%
Balance Sheet and Cash Flows
- Total Cash: ~11.0B
- Total Debt: ~111.6B
- Debt to Equity: ~452.5x (very high leverage by traditional metrics)
- Dividend Yield: 0.69% (Five-year avg: 1.33%)
Observations
- The balance sheet shows heavy leverage, but Oracle generates substantial operating cash flow and a meaningful non-operating cash balance can support debt service and buybacks/dividends.
- Cloud growth and margin trajectory will be the primary drivers of valuation re-rating.

Analyst Consensus & Price Targets

Current Price: 296.96
Analysts Covering: 37
Target High: 415.00
Target Low: 175.14
Target Median: 347.00
Target Mean: 332.85 Notes: The spread between low and high reflects a wide range of potential outcomes, with the median suggesting upside from current levels.

Recent Earnings Summary (selected metrics)

Revenue (Total Revenue / Operating Revenue)
- 2025-08-31: 14.926B
- 2025-05-31: 15.903B
- 2025-02-28: 14.130B
- 2024-11-30: 14.059B
- 2024-08-31: 13.307B
Net Income (continuing operations)
- 2025-08-31: 2.927B
- 2025-05-31: 3.427B
- 2025-02-28: 2.936B
- 2024-11-30: 3.151B
- 2024-08-31: 2.929B
Diluted EPS
- 2025-08-31: 1.01
- 2025-05-31: (data not consistently provided in the excerpt)
- 2025-02-28: 1.02
- 2024-11-30: 1.10
- 2024-08-31: 1.03
- 2024-05-31: 1.11
Normalized Income / EBITDA / EBIT (examples)
- Normalized Income (approximate quarterly): 3.352B (8/31/2025) vs 3.571B (5/31/2025)
- EBITDA (trailing quarterly): ~6.12B (8/31/2025) vs ~6.82B (5/31/2025)
- EBIT: ~4.35B (8/31/2025) vs ~5.13B (5/31/2025)
Takeaway: The company has displayed resilient top-line performance with fluctuating quarterly profitability, aided by normalization in unusual items. The normalization trend shows EBITDA and EBIT oscillating quarter-to-quarter, with reported Net Income influenced by unusual items and tax effects.

EPS Trend (per-share, summarized)

0q (most recent quarter): 1.6348
+1q (next quarter projection): 1.7132
0y (trailing 12-month): 6.7971
+1y (forward 12 months): 8.0145 Interpretation: Recent quarterly EPS is improving modestly quarter-over-quarter, while the trailing-12-month and forward estimates indicate earnings growth is expected to continue, consistent with a cloud-led expansion and better operating leverage over time.

EPS Revisions (analyst sentiment)

0q (most recent period)
- Up Last 7 Days: 2
- Up Last 30 Days: 19
- Down Last 30 Days: 7
- Down Last 7 Days: 1
+1q
- Up Last 7 Days: 0
- Up Last 30 Days: 22
- Down Last 30 Days: 6
- Down Last 7 Days: 1
0y
- Up Last 7 Days: 1
- Up Last 30 Days: 26
- Down Last 30 Days: 8
- Down Last 7 Days: 2
+1y
- Up Last 7 Days: 1
- Up Last 30 Days: 14
- Down Last 30 Days: 19
- Down Last 7 Days: 2 Interpretation: Net revisions are skewed toward upgrades across the 0q and 0y periods, with a more mixed signal for the +1y period. The overall trend is mildly positive for near-term earnings expectations, consistent with ongoing cloud-generated revenue growth and efficiency improvements.

Technical Analysis

Price action: ORCL trades near 297 recently, above the 50-day MA (latest data shows MA around 266.2). This indicates near-term momentum remains constructive, with the price currently exceeding the 50-day trend.
50-day Moving Average: ~266.2 (as of 2025-10-09)
RSI (14): ~44.3 (mid-range; not overbought or oversold)
MACD (12,26,9): MACD around 6.6 vs Signal ~9.1 (positive but not bullish-crossing yet; still a supportive setup for continued consolidation or modest upside)
Interpretation: The technical setup shows a positive tilt from a trend perspective (price above the 50-day MA), but momentum is modest (RSI mid-40s and MACD not yet showing a bullish cross). The stock could consolidate near current levels unless catalysts emerge.

Key Technical Levels

Near-term support: around the 50-day MA (~266)
Near-term resistance: 347 (median price target; aligns with a potential breakout/hub for upside)
All-time/longer-term resistance: 415 (high target)

Analyst Consensus & Price Targets (table)

Metric	Value
Current Price	296.96
Number of Analysts	37
Target Low	175.14314
Target Median	347.00
Target Mean	332.84872
Target High	415.00
Implied Upside (vs current) – Median	~16.9%
Implied Upside – High	~39.7%
Implied Downside – Low	~41%

Price Target Analysis (Short, Mid, Long-Term)

Short-Term (3 months): 347.00 (Median target)
- Justification: The near-term path could be shaped by continued cloud adoption, stable profitability, and favorable revisions from near-term analysts. The median target implies roughly 16-17% upside from the current price.
- Key drivers: Cloud revenue growth, operating leverage in software/commercial services, potential share repurchases.
Mid-Term (12 months): 332.85 (Mean target)
- Justification: A balanced view with several analysts expecting solid but not explosive growth; potential multiple expansion if Oracle Cloud gains share and profitability lifts. The mean target implies roughly 12% upside from current levels.
- Key drivers: Cloud margin expansion, AI/automation enablement, steady cash generation, capital allocation (buybacks/dividends).
Long-Term (3+ years): 415.00 (High target)
- Justification: Optimistic scenario where Oracle maintains robust cloud momentum, improves margins, and demonstrates sustained top-line growth. The high target implies ~40%+ upside from current levels over an extended horizon.
- Key drivers: OCI monetization at scale, cross-sell into existing customer base, continued enterprise IT budget strength, and efficiency gains.
Summary table (targets vs current) | Horizon | Target | Upside vs Current | |---|---|---| | Short-Term (3 months) | 347.00 | ~+17% | | Mid-Term (12 months) | 332.85 | ~+12% | | Long-Term (3+ years) | 415.00 | ~+40% |

Key Risks & Opportunities

Key Risks
- High leverage relative to cash flow (Debt/Equity ~452x) could constrain capital allocation flexibility and risk any rising interest-rate environment.
- Cloud competition and price competition in OCI and other cloud segments could pressure margins and growth.
- Macro softness in enterprise IT spending could delay cloud adoption and reduce acceleration in recurring revenue.
Key Opportunities
- OCI monetization at scale with improved enterprise adoption and AI-enabled services.
- Margin expansion through product mix shift toward high-margin cloud services and efficient operating expense management.
- Attractive dividend policy and potential buybacks to support shareholder value.

Investment Recommendation

Recommendation: Hold to Moderate Buy (with a favorable longer-term bias if cloud momentum accelerates)
- Rationale: The base case target (347) suggests meaningful upside within a 3-12 month horizon. The stock trades at a high forward P/E, reflecting optimism about Oracle Cloud and enterprise software monetization. The high target (415) provides an upside scenario, while the low target (175) highlights a risk downside if cloud adoption stalls or leverage risks become burdensome.
- Time horizon: 3–24 months
- Expected return potential (base case): roughly 10–18% over 12 months; upside scenarios could approach 40%+ in the bull case, with downside risks potentially around -40% if execution or macro headwinds intensify.

Quantitative snapshot (as of 2025-10-10)

Current price: 296.96
Target range (low–high): 175.14 – 415.00
Median target: 347.00
Forward-looking view: The forward path hinges on Oracle’s cloud monetization and margin management, supported by a robust balance sheet and strong cash generation, balanced against leverage risk and macro IT spend cycles.

Appendix: Data sources and notes

Price targets and analyst counts: from the Analyst Price Targets dataset
Earnings, EPS trends, and revisions: from the Recent Earnings Summary, EPS Trend, and EPS Revisions datasets
Technical indicators: 50-day MA, RSI, and MACD from the provided Technical Indicators
Charting: Horizontal lines drawn for Low, Median, and High targets:
- Low (175.14): green
- Median (347.00): blue
- High (415.00): red
- Extend 30 days forward to 2025-11-09 for a visual edge

If you’d like, I can add a sensitivity analysis (e.g., vary the multiple assumptions for OCI growth or adjust for different debt scenarios) or produce a concise executive summary slide deck.