NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Technical Analysis & Key Levels

Comprehensive technical analysis for NVDA (Daily window ~60 days; reference values provided)

Technical Summary (as of 2025-09-21)

• Price context: Recent action shows a broad 170–184 trading range after a late-August high near 184.5, with a pullback into 170–176 in September. Current price ~176.7.
• Trend context: Longer-term MA structure remains bullish (MA50 well above MA200; price currently around MA50). No MA cross in the last 60 days; momentum has cooled from overbought highs but remains constructive above MA200.
• Momentum indicators:
  • RSI(14): oscillated from ~29–53 in the last 60 days; currently ~53.6 (neutral to mildly bullish, not overbought).
  • MACD(12,26,9): fluctuated around the zero line; recently modestly positive with a small histogram; suggests modest bullish momentum, not exponential.
• Implications: The medium-term trend is favorable, but the immediate term is range-bound with key support near 170 and resistance near the 180s. A clean breakout above ~184.5 would shift the short-term bias higher; a break below ~167–171 could reintroduce a corrective path toward prior supports.

Horizontal support and resistance levels (drawn) Notes:

• Levels are derived from recent price action (60-day window) and are extended 100 trading days forward for charting.
• Each line uses a unique color for quick visual reference.
• No Current Price or MA lines drawn (per instructions).
• 52-Week High/Low can be used as references; included here as optional reference lines.

Supports

• Support 1 (S1)
  • Price: 170.8
  • Time range (p1): 2025-09-02
  • Time extension (p2, 100 days forward): 2026-01-10
  • Color: #00FF00
  • Rationale: First robust floor identified in late Aug–Sept with multiple touches around 170–171; aligns with recent intraday lows around 170.8.
• Support 2 (S2)
  • Price: 167.0
  • Time range (p1): 2025-09-05
  • Time extension (p2): 2026-01-13
  • Color: #32CD32
  • Rationale: Secondary basin observed in early-September weakness; warrants a stronger line below S1 to capture deeper intraday/base activity around 167.

Resistances

• Resistance 1 (R1)
  • Price: 184.5
  • Time range (p1): 2025-08-13
  • Time extension (p2): 2026-01-21
  • Color: #FF4500
  • Rationale: Upper bound near the 184.5 area (52W high vicinity). Reflects the recent ceiling around late Aug when price approached the 184–185 zone.
• Resistance 2 (R2)
  • Price: 178.0
  • Time range (p1): 2025-09-12
  • Time extension (p2): 2026-01-22
  • Color: #FFA500
  • Rationale: Secondary cap closer to the 178–179 zone observed in early to mid-September; represents near-term obstruction before a stronger move to the 184+ area.

Optional reference lines (52-Week High/Low)

• 52-Week High: 184.47
  • Time range (p1): 2025-08-13
  • Time extension (p2): 2026-02-21
  • Color: #1E90FF
  • Rationale: Absolute ceiling over the past year; aligns with R1 vicinity and overall price top.
• 52-Week Low: 86.61
  • Time range (p1): 2025-08-13
  • Time extension (p2): 2026-02-21
  • Color: #8A2BE2
  • Rationale: Long-term reference; not a near-term target but useful for context.

What the lines are showing on the chart

• S1 (green) around 170.8 marks the near-term floor where buyers have stepped in over the last few weeks.
• S2 (lime) around 167 adds a deeper support that could be tested if selling accelerates.
• R1 (orange-red) around 184.5 marks the major resistance where sellers reappear, into the 184–185 region.
• R2 (orange) around 178 marks a nearer obstacle, where price paused in September before encroaching toward the 184 area.
• 52W High (blue) around 184.47 reinforces the upper boundary seen in the 60-day action.
• 52W Low (violet) at 86.61 provides long-term context but is well below current action.

Technical analysis details by category

1. Market structure and trend

• Intermediate term: Range-bound within 170–184 after a high in August; no clear breakout yet.
• Higher-timeframe context: Still bullish relative to the 200-day horizon given MA50 > MA200 and price above MA50; the current consolidation is a pause within an uptrend rather than a reversal.

2. Moving averages

• MA50 (≈175.5) is above MA200 (≈138). Price currently sits near the MA50 (~176), slightly above it, indicating a near-term test of the MA50 level.
• No MA cross in the last 60 days; the current price action remains consistent with the higher-timeframe bullish posture, but the immediate trend is pulling back toward the MA50.

3. Momentum: RSI(14)

• RSI(14) progression over the 60-day window moved from overbought-ish early to cooling down toward oversold in Sept, then back above 50 in late September (~53.6).
• Current stance: Neutral to modestly bullish momentum; no current overbought condition to warn of a near-term pullback purely from momentum.

4. MACD

• MACD line has oscillated near zero with occasional positive prints; in recent days, MACD has been modestly positive with a small histogram, suggesting a cautious continuation of upside momentum rather than strong acceleration.
• Interpretation: Momentum supports a cautious bullish tilt, but the lack of a large MACD histogram implies limited upside without a clear breakout above resistance.

5. Key levels and rationale

• S1 at 170.8: Interim floor with repeated touches in Sept; risk of a bounce if price tests again.
• S2 at 167.0: Deeper support if selling intensifies; potential setup for a larger relief rally if held.
• R2 at 178.0: Near-term obstacle; price paused near this level in Sept, establishing a defined ceiling to the 170–178 region.
• R1 at 184.5: Major resistance; aligns with late-August peaks and the 52W high vicinity.
• 52W High (184.47): Contextual ceiling; confirms why R1 sits around this zone.
• 52W Low (86.61): Long-term reference, emphasizes the substantial upside available from the longer-term view.

6. Scenarios and invalidation levels

Bullish scenario (continuation to the upside)

• Trigger: Daily close above R1 (184.5) on above-average volume.
• Target after breakout: 188–192 region, with a first milestone near prior highs around 184.5–185 then a move into the 190s if momentum persists.
• Invalidation: Close below S1 (170.8) on a daily basis, or a sustained break below S2 (167.0) with negative momentum.
• Risk considerations: If price fails to sustain above 184.5 and remains within the 170–184 range, expect continued range-bound activity; the next meaningful test would be a sustained move beyond 184.5.

Bearish scenario (reversion/weakness)

• Trigger: Daily close below S2 (167.0), ideally with increased selling volume.
• Target after breakdown: 160–165 region, with potential further downside if negative momentum accelerates (next major supports around 160–155 in a downside extension).
• Invalidation: Close above R2 (178.0) on strong volume, returning to the 176–179 zone and showing rejection of the downside.
• Risk considerations: If the price holds above 170.0 on a daily close, the bears lose traction; a return to the 178–184 zone would suggest a renewed test of the mid-180s.

Deliverable in chart terms (summary)

• Supports: S1 = 170.8 (green), S2 = 167.0 (green)
• Resistances: R2 = 178.0 (orange), R1 = 184.5 (orange-red)
• 52W High: 184.47 (blue reference)
• 52W Low: 86.61 (purple reference)

Notes on interpretation

• The current price (~176.7) sits above the primary support at 170.8 and near the near-term resistance around 178–184. A break above 184.5 would open a bullish continuation; a break below 167–170 would tilt toward a deeper pullback toward 160s.
• The MACD and RSI configurations support careful bullish caution rather than aggressive upside. A breakout with strong volume is the key catalyst for a sustained move above the 184.5 level.

If you want, I can generate an updated, more precise table of levels with exact dates as the chart evolves, or adjust levels if you want to anchor them to any alternative intraday touchpoints you see on the attached chart images.