Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NMR) Unusual Volume Stock Analysis
In-depth stock analysis for Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NMR), selected from today's top volume-trending names. Covers price action, unusual volume, fundamentals and key trading levels. Updated 2025-11-28.
Price Action Analysis
Daily Chart (3-month): The daily chart displays a recent upward trend, with prices recovering from a low in early October. There's a noticeable surge in volume over the past week, coinciding with a price increase. Support appears to be forming around the $7.00-$7.10 range, while resistance is being tested near the recent highs of approximately $7.60. Candlestick patterns in the recent days suggest strong buying pressure.
Weekly Chart (2-year): The longer-term weekly chart reveals a significant uptrend from late 2022 into early 2024, followed by a period of consolidation and a more recent upward move. The current surge in volume on the daily chart is also visible on the weekly chart as an anomaly compared to the preceding months. The price has broken through previous resistance levels from earlier in the year.
News & Catalysts
News & Catalysts
Here are a few recent developments that may be influencing Nomura Holdings, Inc.'s (NMR) trading activity:
- Analyst Upgrade to Strong Buy: Zacks Research recently upgraded Nomura Holdings to a "strong-buy" rating. This positive sentiment shift, coupled with a previous "hold" rating from Weiss Ratings, has contributed to an overall "buy" consensus among analysts. (Source: Zacks Research/Weiss Ratings, Date: November 21, 2025)
- Strong Quarterly Earnings: Nomura reported quarterly earnings that surpassed analyst expectations, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.22 against an estimate of $0.17. The company also reported revenue of $3.37 billion, exceeding the consensus of $3.02 billion. (Source: Various Financial News Outlets, Date: Late November 2025)
- Robust 2024 Financial Performance: For the full year 2024, Nomura demonstrated significant growth, with revenue increasing by 21.16% to 1.89 trillion JPY and earnings growing by an impressive 105.43% to 340.74 billion JPY. (Source: Various Financial News Outlets, Date: Late November 2025)
- Strategic Business Expansion: Nomura is actively planning to strengthen its interest rate and foreign exchange trading units globally, positioning itself to capitalize on anticipated market volatility. (Source: Various Financial News Outlets, Date: Late November 2025)
These catalysts, particularly the strong earnings and analyst upgrade, likely contributed to the recent surge in trading volume and positive price action.
Fondamental analysis
Key Financial Metrics and Estimates
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 21.16% |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | 105.43% |
| Qtr EPS vs Estimate | $0.22 vs $0.17 |
| Qtr Revenue vs Est | $3.37B vs $3.02B |
Key Takeaways:
- Strong Profitability and Growth: Nomura Holdings has shown substantial year-over-year growth in both revenue and earnings, indicating a healthy and expanding business.
- Earnings Beat: The company recently surpassed analyst expectations for both earnings per share and revenue in its latest quarterly report.
- Analyst Optimism: The company is favored by analysts, with a consensus "buy" rating and recent upgrades to "strong-buy" sentiment.
Price Action Analysis
Daily Chart (3-month): The daily chart shows a recent upward trend in Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NMR) after a period of consolidation. The price has broken above a resistance level around $7.20, with a notable increase in trading volume accompanying this breakout, particularly in the last few days of November. Candlestick patterns suggest increasing bullish momentum, with several green candles appearing after the price tested support around $6.70.
Weekly Chart (2-year): The longer-term weekly chart reveals a substantial upward trend that began in early 2024. The price has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows. There was a period of consolidation in the summer of 2024, followed by a renewed uptrend. The recent price action on the daily chart appears to be a continuation of this established long-term trend, with the increased volume indicating strong conviction.
News & Catalysts
Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NMR) News and Potential Catalysts:
- Strategic Collaboration with OpenAI (November 28, 2025): Nomura Holdings announced a partnership with OpenAI to integrate AI technologies into its services, aiming to enhance asset management, investment advice, and data solutions. This forward-looking initiative could signal a commitment to innovation and technological advancement, potentially attracting investor interest. (Source: News reports, November 2025)
- Strong Q2 2025 Earnings and FY2024 Performance: Nomura reported a second-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.22, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.17. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations. For the full fiscal year 2024, the company posted strong revenue and earnings, indicating robust operational performance. (Source: Company financial reports, November 2025)
- Recent 52-Week High: The stock reached a new 52-week high of $7.62 on November 27, 2025. This price action, coupled with an average analyst consensus of 'Buy', suggests positive market sentiment and confidence in the company's future prospects. (Source: Financial news outlets, November 2025)
These developments, particularly the OpenAI collaboration and strong financial results, likely contributed to the increased trading volume and positive price movement observed recently.
Fondamental analysis
Key Metrics and Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $25.11B |
| Enterprise Value | $118.94B |
| Forward P/E | 11.22 |
| PEG Ratio | 0.95 |
| P/S (TTM) | 1.33 |
| P/B (TTM) | 0.81 |
| Debt/Equity (TTM) | 5.73 |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 7.47% |
| Gross Profit Margin (TTM) | 46.42% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 10.95% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 7.70% |
Earnings and Estimates
| Metric | Latest Data | Analyst Estimate |
|---|---|---|
| EPS (TTM) | $0.25 | - |
| Revenue (TTM) | $26.02B | - |
| Q3 2025 EPS Estimate | - | $0.20 |
| Q3 2025 Revenue Estimate | - | $3.20B |
| FY 2025 EPS Estimate | - | $0.95 |
| FY 2025 Revenue Estimate | - | $12.50B |
Analyst Recommendations and Price Targets
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Analyst Consensus | Buy |
| Avg. Price Target | $7.80 |
| High Price Target | $8.50 |
| Low Price Target | $6.90 |
Key Takeaways:
- Valuation: Nomura Holdings appears reasonably valued, with a forward P/E of 11.22 and a PEG ratio of 0.95, suggesting potential for growth. The P/B ratio of 0.81 indicates the stock may be trading below its book value.
- Profitability: The company demonstrates healthy margins, with a Gross Profit Margin of 46.42%, Operating Margin of 10.95%, and Net Margin of 7.70% (TTM). Return on Equity is 7.47%.
- Estimates: Analysts have positive expectations for upcoming earnings and revenue, with Q3 2025 estimates indicating continued growth.
- Analyst Sentiment: The consensus among analysts is a 'Buy', with an average price target of $7.80, suggesting upside potential from the current price.
Market & Sentiment Context
The broader market may be influenced by increasing adoption of AI technologies across various sectors, potentially boosting sentiment for companies investing in innovation like Nomura Holdings. Additionally, anticipation of increased market volatility, as suggested by Nomura's own strategists, could lead to higher trading volumes across financial markets. The positive earnings and strategic partnerships serve as company-specific drivers, enhancing investor confidence.
Investment Outlook
Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NMR) is showing strong upward momentum, supported by positive fundamental data, strategic advancements in AI, and favorable analyst ratings. The recent surge in trading volume, accompanied by a price increase and a new 52-week high, suggests increasing investor interest and conviction. The company's solid financial performance and promising future outlook, particularly with its AI initiatives, position it well for continued growth.
Key Buy/Sell Levels
Current Price: $7.64
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
- Resistance: The current price of $7.64 is at a new 52-week high. Any significant upward movement would be into uncharted territory based on the recent price action.
- Potential Buy Zone 1: $7.40. This level was recently tested and acted as resistance before the price broke above it. It is now expected to act as support.
- Touched: Yes, it has been touched and recently broken through.
- Potential Buy Zone 2: $7.00. This level represents a previous resistance zone that has now been tested as support during the price consolidation before the recent breakout.
- Touched: Yes, it has been touched and acted as support.
- Potential Buy Zone 3: $6.70. This level was a significant support area in the last three months and has held firm during price dips.
- Touched: Yes, it has been touched and acted as support.
- Potential Buy Zone 4: $6.20. This is a lower support level identified from the longer-term weekly chart, which could be a more aggressive buying opportunity if the price experiences a substantial pullback.
- Touched: No.
- Distance from current price: $1.44 (18.85%)
These levels are identified based on previous price action, acting as areas where buying interest may emerge, especially in conjunction with higher trading volumes.
Summary & Takeaways
Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NMR) is demonstrating a strong bullish trend, characterized by a recent breakout above resistance on increased trading volume. This is supported by positive Q2 2025 earnings, robust full-year 2024 financial performance, and a strategic collaboration with OpenAI. Analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus, with an average price target indicating further upside potential. Key support levels are identified at $7.40, $7.00, and $6.70, with $6.20 serving as a more conservative lower support. The current price is near a 52-week high, suggesting strong investor sentiment and momentum. Investors should monitor these support levels for potential buying opportunities, considering the overall positive outlook for the company.