Meta Platforms, Inc. Stock Price Targets

Comprehensive analysis of short, mid, and long-term price targets for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META).

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Give me a comprehensive price target analysis for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META).

Comprehensive META (META) Price Target Analysis and Horizontal Target Lines

Note on drawings: I have placed three horizontal trendlines on the active price chart extending 30 days into the future from today (2025-10-10) at the Low, Median, and High target levels you provided:

  • Low Target: 658.00 (green)
  • Median Target: 877.50 (yellow/orange)
  • High Target: 1086.00 (red)

Time window for lines: 2025-10-10 to 2025-11-09 Colors used:

  • Low Target (658): #2ECC71 (green)
  • Median Target (877.5): #F1C40F (orange/yellow)
  • High Target (1086): #E74C3C (red)

Technical note: The lines have been drawn via the platform tool and extend 30 days beyond today to the right edge of the chart.

Now, the detailed analysis.

Executive Summary

  • META trades at a current price of 733.51, sitting well above the Low Target (658) and below the Median Target (877.50) and High Target (1086.00). The market consensus remains constructive, with 62 analysts covering META and a mean target of about 867.61, implying a roughly 18% upside from current levels on the mean target.
  • The company displays a robust balance sheet and profitability, with strong gross margins and solid profitability metrics, but the stock is trading below near-term momentum signals (prices below the 50-day MA and mixed MACD/RSI dynamics as of the latest data).

Key takeaways:

  • If multiple expansion in profitability and ad monetization accelerates, upside toward the Median/High targets is plausible within 3-12 months.
  • Near-term risk includes a reversion toward the 50-day MA and potential macro/advertising demand headwinds; the RSI and MACD suggest constrained momentum in the short run, but improving EPS revisions point to improving sentiment.

Fundamental Analysis

Key valuation and health metrics (as provided)

  • Current price: 733.51
  • Market Cap: 1,842,680,954,880
  • Enterprise Value: 1,805,804,634,112
  • Trailing P/E: 26.61
  • Forward P/E: 28.99
  • Price to Book: 9.46
  • Return on Equity (ROE): 40.65%
  • Return on Assets (ROA): 18.47%
  • Profit Margin: 39.99%
  • Gross Margin: 81.97%
  • Operating Margin: 43.02%
  • Debt to Equity: 25.41
  • Total Cash: 47.07B
  • Total Debt: 49.56B
  • Dividend Yield: 0.29%
  • Beta: 1.203

Valuation snapshot (analyst consensus)

  • Current Price: 733.51
  • Number of Analysts: 62
  • Target Low / Target Median / Target High: 658.00 / 877.50 / 1086.00
  • Target Mean Price: 867.61

Table: Key Valuation and Health Metrics

  • Metric | Value
  • Current Price | 733.51
  • Market Cap | 1,842.68B
  • Enterprise Value | 1,805.80B
  • Trailing P/E | 26.61
  • Forward P/E | 28.99
  • P/B | 9.46
  • ROE | 40.65%
  • ROA | 18.47%
  • Profit Margin | 39.99%
  • Gross Margin | 81.97%
  • Operating Margin | 43.02%
  • Debt/Equity | 25.41
  • Total Cash | 47.07B
  • Total Debt | 49.56B
  • Dividend Yield | 0.29%
  • Beta | 1.203

Earnings Analysis

Recent earnings summary (highlights)

  • 2025-06-30: Diluted EPS 7.14; Basic EPS 7.28; Net Income from Continuing Operations 18.33B; Normalized Income 18.16B; EBITDA 25.12B; Operating Income 20.44B; Total Revenue 47.52B; Gross Profit 39.03B; Gross Margin ~81.97%
  • 2025-03-31: Diluted EPS 6.43; Net Income 16.64B; Normalized Income 16.46B; Revenue 42.31B; Operating Income 17.56B
  • 2024-12-31: Diluted EPS 8.02; Net Income 20.84B; Revenue 48.39B; Normalized Income ~21.18B
  • 2024-09-30: Diluted EPS 6.03; Net Income 15.69B; Revenue 40.59B
  • 2024-06-30: Diluted EPS 5.16; Net Income 13.47B; Revenue 39.07B

EPS Trend (momentum signals)

  • 0q (current): 6.698 vs 90d ago 5.956 (positive quarterly momentum)
  • +1q: 8.100 vs 90d ago 7.538 (positive quarter-over-quarter momentum)
  • 0y: 28.183 vs 90d ago 25.842 (strong year-over-year momentum)
  • +1y: 30.081 vs 90d ago 28.600 (robust multi-year momentum)

EPS Revisions (analyst sentiment)

  • 0q: Up Last7days 2; Up Last30days 3; Down Last30days 0; Down Last7Days 0 (net positive)
  • +1q: Up Last7days 2; Up Last30days 2; Down Last30days 0; Down Last7Days 0 (net positive)
  • 0y: Up Last7days 1; Up Last30days 8; Down Last30days 0; Down Last7Days 0 (strong positive revisions over longer horizon)
  • +1y: Up Last7days 4; Up Last30days 7; Down Last30days 2; Down Last7Days 2 (overall positive revisions, especially over 30 days)

Takeaway from earnings data:

  • The company delivered solid historical profitability (high gross margins, double-digit operating margins) and returning significant earnings growth in late 2024 into 2025. The forward-looking EPS trends show continued positive momentum (+1q and +1y revisions are supportive). The revisions data indicate improved sentiment from analysts across near-term and longer horizons.

Table: Summary of Earnings and EPS (selected items)

  • Quarter | Diluted EPS | Net Income (US$) | Revenue (US$)
  • 2025-06-30 | 7.14 | 18.33B | 47.52B
  • 2025-03-31 | 6.43 | 16.64B | 42.31B
  • 2024-12-31 | 8.02 | 20.84B | 48.39B
  • 2024-09-30 | 6.03 | 15.69B | 40.59B
  • 2024-06-30 | 5.16 | 13.47B | 39.07B

Technical Analysis

Current price action and key levels

  • The price is trading below the 50-day moving average (latest MA ~753.4 vs price 733.5 as of 2025-10-09). This places near-term momentum modestly bearish.
  • RSI (14) at the latest reading shows 32.3 (recent dip into oversold territory and a modest rebound to mid-30s earlier in Oct). This suggests some near-term downside risk may be alleviating, but still below neutral.
  • MACD (12,26,9) remains negative with MACD at -9.3 and Signal at -6.3, indicating prevailing bearish momentum. Convergence toward zero would be a bullish signal.

50-day MA vs price (latest)

  • 50-day MA: 753.4
  • Price: 733.5
  • Implication: Price remains below the 50-day moving average, signaling a short-term downtrend bias unless there is a momentum shift.

RSI (14) and MACD

  • RSI recent low around 22 (early Oct) with a rebound to 32.3 by 2025-10-09, indicating the stock is recovering from oversold conditions but not yet in a bullish momentum zone.
  • MACD negative and below its signal line, pointing to continued near-term softness until a bullish crossover materializes.

Table: Key Technical Indicators (latest data)

  • Indicator | Value
  • 50-day MA | 753.4
  • Price (spot) | 733.5
  • RSI (14) | 32.3
  • MACD | -9.3
  • MACD Signal | -6.3

Analyst Consensus & Price Targets

Analyst coverage and price targets

  • Current price: 733.51
  • Number of Analysts: 62
  • Target High: 1086.00
  • Target Low: 658.00
  • Target Median: 877.50
  • Target Mean: 867.61

Key catalysts and sentiment

  • Potential catalysts include continued strength in META’s ad platform monetization, product stack enhancements (AI/social features), user engagement improvements, and cost discipline translating into margin expansion. Positive earnings revisions (as shown) further support upside across near- and mid-term horizons.
  • Risks include macro advertising demand headwinds, regulatory scrutiny, competition, and any unintended effects of platform changes on user engagement.

Analyst Targets Table

  • Current Price | 733.51
  • Target Low | 658.00
  • Target Median | 877.50
  • Target High | 1086.00
  • Target Mean | 867.61
  • Analysts Covering | 62

Price Target Analysis (Short, Mid, Long-Term)

Short-Term (3 months)

  • Target: around the mean/median area, ~860–880 (roughly in line with the median target of 877.50 and mean of 867.61)
  • Rationale:
    • Positive EPS momentum: 0q current EPS of ~6.70 and +1q EPS of ~8.10 indicate improving quarterly performance.
    • EPS revisions show net positive sentiment across 7-30 day windows and longer horizons (0q and +1q) with several upgrades.
    • Analyst consensus median target sits at 877.50, implying ~20% upside from current price.
    • Near-term price action shows some risk (price beneath 50-day MA, MACD negative), but the sentiment and earnings momentum offer upside potential if earnings revisions translate to higher earnings and valuation re-rating.
  • Risks: If momentum stalls, RSI remains in the 30s or lower, or macro ad demand weakens, upside could be limited near-term.

Mid-Term (12 months)

  • Target: ~950–1000, with potential to test the Median/Mean targets and approach the High if catalysts materialize.
  • Rationale:
    • Positive EPS trend and revisions support higher earnings power in the next 4–6 quarters.
    • Analyst mean target is ~867.61 and median 877.50; a move toward 950–1000 would imply multiple expansion on stronger growth expectations and durability of profitability.
    • The stock has a solid balance sheet with significant cash, manageable debt, and strong margins, which can support a mid-term correction to earnings power and valuation uplift.
  • Risks: If growth is slower than expected or if advertising cycles compress, a mid-term target near 900–950 is more plausible.

Long-Term (3+ years)

  • Target: ~1100–1200 (near or above the High Target of 1086), contingent on sustained earnings growth, monetization of AI/product initiatives, and favorable macro conditions.
  • Rationale:
    • The high end of analyst targets (1086) suggests the market is layering in meaningful upside from continued monetization improvements, user engagement, and potentially structural improvements in ad pricing/picotline.
    • If EPS growth accelerates further and margins stay elevated, a long-term multiple expansion could push the price toward the high 1000s.
    • Strong gross margins and ROE indicate a durable profitability profile that supports long-term upside.
  • Risks: The 3+ year horizon is sensitive to regulatory dynamics, competitive pressure, and macro ad demand; any deterioration could cap upside.

Summary Table: Price Target Scenarios

  • Horizon | Target Range | Key Drivers
  • Short-Term (3 months) | ~860–880 (mean/median) | Positive EPS momentum, positive revisions, analyst consensus
  • Mid-Term (12 months) | ~950–1000 | Earnings growth realization, margin stability, sentiment improvement
  • Long-Term (3+ years) | ~1100–1200 | Structural monetization, AI/product adoption, favorable macro/ad trends

Note: The price targets above are anchored to the provided Low/Median/High targets (658, 877.50, 1086) and the analyst mean/median values, with a view toward momentum signals from EPS trends and revisions.

Key Risks & Opportunities

  • Key Risks

    • Near-term price action remains constrained by the 50-day MA and negative MACD signals; external macro headwinds could pressure ad demand.
    • Regulatory and platform governance risks could impact monetization and user engagement dynamics.
    • Sector competition in digital advertising and social platforms could temper upside.

  • Key Opportunities

    • Positive EPS revisions across near- and longer-term windows indicate potential sentiment upgrade.
    • Ongoing monetization enhancements and AI-driven features could support revenue and margin expansion.
    • Strong balance sheet (cash-rich) provides flexibility for strategic investments, buybacks, or acquisitions that may boost long-term earnings power.

Investment Recommendation

  • Recommendation: Hold to Moderate Buy with a 12-24 month horizon.
    • Near-term upside exists toward the Median/Mean targets (~867–880+), supported by improving EPS trends and positive revisions.
    • Medium-term upside remains plausible if earnings momentum continues and ad monetization drivers strengthen.
    • Long-term upside could approach the High Target (~1086) if META sustains above-market earnings growth and margin discipline.
  • Expected return potential (12-24 months): Approximately 15–25% upside, depending on the realization of earnings momentum, margin expansion, and positive revisions.

Appendix: Data References (Selected Figures)

  • Price targets and current price
    • Current Price: 733.51
    • Low Target: 658.00
    • Median Target: 877.50
    • High Target: 1086.00
    • Target Mean: 867.61
    • Analysts: 62
  • Fundamental metrics
    • Market Cap: 1,842.68B
    • EV: 1,805.80B
    • Trailing P/E: 26.61
    • Forward P/E: 28.99
    • P/B: 9.46
    • ROE: 40.65%
    • ROA: 18.47%
    • Profit Margin: 39.99%
    • Gross Margin: 81.97%
    • Operating Margin: 43.02%
    • Debt/Equity: 25.41
    • Cash: 47.07B
    • Debt: 49.56B
    • Dividend Yield: 0.29%
  • Recent earnings and EPS
    • 2025-06-30: Diluted EPS 7.14; Net Income 18.33B; Revenue 47.52B
    • 2025-03-31: Diluted EPS 6.43; Net Income 16.64B; Revenue 42.31B
    • 2024-12-31: Diluted EPS 8.02; Net Income 20.84B; Revenue 48.39B
    • 2024-09-30: Diluted EPS 6.03; Net Income 15.69B; Revenue 40.59B
    • 2024-06-30: Diluted EPS 5.16; Net Income 13.47B; Revenue 39.07B
  • EPS trends
    • 0q current: 6.698 vs 90d ago 5.956
    • +1q: 8.100 vs 90d ago 7.538
    • 0y: 28.183 vs 90d ago 25.842
    • +1y: 30.081 vs 90d ago 28.600
  • EPS revisions
    • 0q: Up Last7d 2; Up Last30d 3; Down Last30d 0; Down Last7d 0
    • +1q: Up Last7d 2; Up Last30d 2; Down Last30d 0; Down Last7d 0
    • 0y: Up Last7d 1; Up Last30d 8; Down Last30d 0; Down Last7d 0
    • +1y: Up Last7d 4; Up Last30d 7; Down Last30d 2; Down Last7d 2
  • Technicals (latest)
    • 50-day MA: 753.4
    • Price: 733.5
    • RSI: 32.3
    • MACD: -9.3
    • MACD Signal: -6.3

If you’d like, I can tighten the Short-Term / Mid-Term / Long-Term targets with explicit model-based projections (e.g., earnings power, revenue growth rates, margin expansion assumptions) and scenario analyses (base, bull, bear) to give a more formal probabilistic price target distribution.

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