Lowe's Companies, Inc. Stock Price Targets

Comprehensive analysis of short, mid, and long-term price targets for Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW).

Back to Analysis Hub

Give me a comprehensive price target analysis for Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW).

Below is a comprehensive price-target and investment-analysis update for Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (LOW) as of 2025-10-10. Per your drawing instruction, I’ve drawn three horizontal price trendlines on the chart for the specified targets and extended them 30 days into the future.

  • Low Target: 221.00 (color: DodgerBlue)
  • Median Target: 283.00 (color: Orange)
  • High Target: 325.00 (color: LimeGreen)
  • Lines extend to 2025-11-09

Note: The lines were drawn using LOW as the ticker.

Executive Summary

  • Investment thesis: Lowe’s remains a defensive, cash-generative home-improvement retailer with a solid margin framework and a dividend yield near 2%. Given a broad consensus target range (221–325) and a median around 283, the stock offers meaningful upside from current levels if consumer demand stabilizes, cost controls take hold, and margins remain resilient.
  • Price outlook: With a current price around 234.7, a median price target of 283 implies roughly +21% upside from today; the high target of 325 implies roughly +38% upside. A lower bound around 221 implies some downside risk if near-term earnings momentum deteriorates further.
  • Key caveat: EPS revisions data show more downgrades than upgrades in the recent window, signaling potential near-term profitability headwinds despite a favorable long-run margin profile. This warrants a balanced stance (cautious upside with downside risks).

Fundamental Analysis

  • Current valuation and profitability

    • Current price: 234.67
    • Market cap: 131.609B
    • Enterprise value: 167.080B
    • Trailing P/E: 19.25x
    • Forward P/E: 18.58x
    • Price to Book: -11.55x (note: this is atypical; may reflect data quirks or accounting metric quirks; treat with caution)
    • Return on Assets (ROA): 14.29%
    • Profit margin: 8.20%
    • Gross margin: 33.46%
    • Operating margin: 14.48%
    • Dividend yield: 2.02% (5-year avg: 1.71%)
    • Beta: 0.88 (defensive equity profile)

  • Liquidity and leverage

    • Total cash: ~5.26B
    • Total debt: ~39.09B
    • Net debt position and liquidity constraints should be monitored alongside working-capital needs and dividend sustainability.

  • Observations

    • The company shows healthy margins and a solid cash base, with a payout (dividend) supported by cash generation. Leverage remains a point of attention given the debt burden, though Free Cash Flow generation supports coverage.

Analyst Consensus & Price Targets

  • Summary metrics

    • Current price: 234.67
    • Analysts covering: 32
    • Target High / Low / Median / Mean:
      • High: 325.0
      • Low: 221.0
      • Median: 283.0
      • Mean: 282.375

  • Table: Analyst price targets

    • Target High: 325.0
    • Target Low: 221.0
    • Target Median: 283.0
    • Target Mean: 282.375
    • Current price: 234.67
    • Coverage: 32 analysts

Earnings Analysis Recent Earnings Summary (selected items)

  • Period End 2025-07-31

    • Net Income (Continuing Ops): 2.398B
    • Diluted EPS: 4.27
    • EBITDA: 4.026B
    • Operating Income: 3.469B
    • Total Revenue: 23.959B

  • Period End 2025-04-30

    • Net Income (Continuing Ops): 1.641B
    • Diluted EPS: 2.92
    • EBITDA: 3.026B
    • Operating Income: 2.494B
    • Total Revenue: 20.931B

  • Period End 2025-01-31

    • Net Income (Continuing Ops): 1.124B
    • Diluted EPS: 1.99
    • EBITDA: 2.378B
    • Operating Income: 1.863B
    • Total Revenue: 18.556B

  • Period End 2024-10-31

    • Net Income (Continuing Ops): 1.695B
    • Diluted EPS: 2.99
    • EBITDA: 3.08B
    • Operating Income: 2.536B
    • Total Revenue: 20.170B

  • Period End 2024-07-31

    • Net Income (Continuing Ops): 2.383B
    • Diluted EPS: 4.17
    • EBITDA: 3.98B
    • Operating Income: 3.447B
    • Total Revenue: 23.586B

  • EPS Trend (historical trend vs. forward)

    • 0q (latest quarter): current EPS ~ 3.00; 7 days ago ~ 3.0000; 30 days ago ~ 3.0020; 60 days ago ~ 3.0311; 90 days ago ~ 3.0407
    • +1q (next quarter): current ~ 2.0753; 7d ago ~ 2.0769; 30d ago ~ 2.0740; 60d ago ~ 2.0540; 90d ago ~ 2.0551
    • 0y (trailing 12 months): ~12.3188; 7d ago ~ 12.3188; 30d ago ~ 12.3159; 60d ago ~ 12.2335; 90d ago ~ 12.2377
    • +1y (forward 12 months): ~13.3279; 7d ago ~ 13.3279; 30d ago ~ 13.3027; 60d ago ~ 13.3201; 90d ago ~ 13.3489

  • EPS Revisions (surprise/downgrade tendency)

    • 0q: UpLast7Days: 1; UpLast30Days: 7; DownLast30Days: 16; DownLast7Days: 0
    • +1q: UpLast7Days: 1; UpLast30Days: 10; DownLast30Days: 8; DownLast7Days: 0
    • 0y: UpLast7Days: 0; UpLast30Days: 2; DownLast30Days: 3; DownLast7Days: 0
    • +1y: UpLast7Days: 0; UpLast30Days: 1; DownLast30Days: 4; DownLast7Days: 1

  • Takeaway on revisions: Net skew toward downgrades over recent windows; this can temper near-term upside expectations even as operating performance has shown episodic strength in certain quarters.

Technical Analysis

  • Price action and momentum
    • Latest price: 234.67
    • 50-day moving average (MA 50): ~254.0 (latest indicated)
      • The stock is trading below its 50-day MA, signaling a near-term bearish bias.
    • RSI (14) observations (sampled data shows volatile readings; some end-of-period values appear anomalous)
      • Reported RSI values swing widely; the series includes data around mid-60s to low-80s in earlier stretch, with very low values near the end (data quality caveat). If taken at face value, the late-period RSI would indicate oversold conditions, but a data-quality caveat is warranted.
    • MACD (12,26,9)
      • Latest MACD is negative (around -5.3 with negative signals), indicating bearish momentum as of the most recent reading.
  • Interpretation
    • The near-term technical backdrop is modestly negative, with price below the 50-day MA and MACD in negative territory. The RSI readings suggest momentum has been choppy and may be oversold, but data quality should be treated cautiously given the unusual end-period numbers.

Key Risks & Opportunities

  • Risks
    • Negative EPS revisions in recent periods suggest near-term profitability pressure or uncertainty; consumer demand sensitivity to macro conditions could weigh on top-line growth.
    • High debt load vs. cash generation requires ongoing attention to capital allocation (dividends, buybacks, and debt management).
    • P/B metric appears negative, which warrants careful interpretation (likely data-quirk or accounting nuance); investors should verify book-value signals.
  • Opportunities
    • Margin resilience (gross margins near 33.5% and operating margins around 14.5%) provide a cushion against revenue volatility.
    • Share repurchases and dividend discipline enhance total return and can support multiple expansion if confidence returns.
    • A stable home-improvement market in a higher-rate environment could sustain earnings, aided by cost controls and productivity gains.

Investment Recommendation

  • Positioning: HOLD with a constructive longer-term tilt if near-term headwinds abate and the company demonstrates sustainable margin stability and cash-flow resilience.
  • Estimated return potential (12–24 months):
    • Base-case: ~+15% to ~+25% (targeting the median around 283);
    • Upside scenario (toward high target 325): ~+38%+;
    • Downside scenario (toward 221): ~-5% to -10% (should near-term revisions materialize and macro demand deteriorates).
  • Rationale: The stock trades below the median and near-term momentum is uncertain given revisions, but the long-run fundamentals (margin strength, cash generation, dividend yield) and a sizable upside from consensus targets provide a reasonable liquidity-return proposition for a patient holder.

Price Target Analysis (Short, Mid, Long-Term)

  • Short-Term (3 months): 283
    • Justification: The consensus median target sits at 283 and the stock trades around 235, implying ~+20% upside in the short term if earnings revisions stabilize and the market aligns with the median target. Key drivers include continued margin discipline, any improvements in consumer demand for home-improvement categories, potential share repurchases, and stabilizing macro conditions.
    • Risks: Prolonged negative revisions; macro weakness; supply chain volatility; competition; rising input costs.
  • Mid-Term (12 months): 305
    • Justification: A mid-term target around 305 reflects a cautious path toward a gradual re-rating driven by better-than-expected operating performance and continued cash-generation ability. This horizon accounts for ongoing cost controls, potential margin expansion, and share-repurchase effects that could push the multiple higher if earnings growth stabilizes.
    • Risks: Execution risk on margin expansion; macro volatility; potential dilution or capital-allocation constraints if debt remains elevated.
  • Long-Term (3+ years): 325
    • Justification: The long-term bull case leverages structural factors: continued strength in home-improvement demand, ongoing efficiency gains, and a potential multiple expansion as profitability stabilizes and balance-sheet risk remains manageable. The 325 high target offers a best-case scenario for multi-year upside if the company sustains growth in earnings and returns capital efficiently.
    • Risks: Prolonged macro weakness; competitive pressure; sustained elevated debt levels; slower-than-expected margin improvement.

Key takeaways from data references

  • Earnings summary indicates variability across quarters with a stronger quarter visible in the most recent period, but revisions show a negative tilt (more downgrades than upgrades) across recent windows. This underscores a near-term risk but does not negate the long-run margin and cash-flow potential.
  • EPS trend shows a solid quarterly EPS around 3.00 for the latest quarter (0q) but materially higher annualized figures (12.3–13.3 for trailing/forward frames) suggesting ongoing earnings leverage over a multi-quarter horizon.
  • Analyst consensus targets imply a meaningful upside from current levels, with a 221–325 target band reflecting wide dispersion and potential for outsized upside if catalysts materialize.

Tables: Key Data Points

  • Key Metrics | Metric | Value | |---|---| | Current price | 234.67 | | Market cap | 131,608,780,800 | | Enterprise value | 167,080,394,752 | | Trailing P/E | 19.25x | | Forward P/E | 18.58x | | Price to Book | -11.55x | | ROA | 14.29% | | Profit margin | 8.20% | | Gross margin | 33.46% | | Operating margin | 14.48% | | Total cash | 5.256B | | Total debt | 39.090B | | Dividend yield | 2.02% | | 5-year avg dividend yield | 1.71% | | Beta | 0.88 |

  • Analyst Price Targets | Metric | Value | |---|---| | Current price | 234.67 | | Number of analysts | 32 | | Target High | 325.0 | | Target Low | 221.0 | | Target Median | 283.0 | | Target Mean | 282.375 |

  • Recent Earnings Summary (selected items) | Period End | Net Income (Continuing Ops) | Diluted EPS | EBITDA | Operating Income | Total Revenue | |---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:| | 2025-07-31 | 2,398,000,000 | 4.27 | 4,026,000,000 | 3,511,000,000 | 23,959,000,000 | | 2025-04-30 | 1,641,000,000 | 2.92 | 3,026,000,000 | 2,494,000,000 | 20,931,000,000 | | 2025-01-31 | 1,124,000,000 | 1.99 | 2,378,000,000 | 1,863,000,000 | 18,556,000,000 | | 2024-10-31 | 1,695,000,000 | 2.99 | 3,080,000,000 | 2,536,000,000 | 20,170,000,000 | | 2024-07-31 | 2,383,000,000 | 4.17 | 3,980,000,000 | 3,447,000,000 | 23,586,000,000 |

  • EPS Trend | Period | Current | 7daysAgo | 30daysAgo | 60daysAgo | 90daysAgo | |---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:| | 0q | 2.99919 | 2.99916 | 3.00199 | 3.03107 | 3.0407 | | +1q | 2.07531 | 2.07691 | 2.074 | 2.05397 | 2.05508 | | 0y | 12.31877 | 12.31877 | 12.31592 | 12.2335 | 12.2377 | | +1y | 13.32791 | 13.32791 | 13.30272 | 13.32013 | 13.34895 |

  • EPS Revisions | Period | UpLast7days | UpLast30days | DownLast30days | DownLast7Days | |---|---:|---:|---:|---:| | 0q | 1 | 7 | 16 | 0 | | +1q | 1 | 10 | 8 | 0 | | 0y | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | | +1y | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |

  • Technical Indicators (selected) | Indicator | Latest value | |---|---:| | 50-day MA (latest) | ~254.0 | | Price vs 50-day MA | Price 234.7 vs MA 254.0 (below MA) | | RSI (14) | Varied across the period; end-date values show unusual low readings (data caveat) | | MACD (12,26,9) | Latest MACD ≈ -5.3; Signal ≈ -2.3 (bearish momentum) |

Important caveats about the data

  • There are some anomalies in the RSI data near the latest date range (values around 4–7). This is unusually low for RSI and could reflect data entry/format quirks. Treat RSI conclusions with caution and cross-check with a live data feed if you’re making trading decisions.
  • The “Price to Book” figure is negative, which is unusual for a large-cap retailer. This metric should be interpreted carefully in context with how book value is calculated for Lowe’s and any peculiar accounting entries in the dataset.

Bottom line

  • The stock trades below its 50-day moving average with negative MACD momentum, indicating near-term softness. However, the consensus price targets imply substantial upside potential over the next 12–24 months, with a median target of 283 and a high target of 325.
  • The earnings narrative shows volatility by quarter, but the longer-term earnings potential (as reflected in trailing and forward EPS trends) remains supportive if margin stability is maintained and near-term revisions stabilize.
  • Investment stance: Hold with a constructive long-term view, assuming improvement in near-term revisions and continued margin discipline. Expected return potential is highly scenario-dependent: upside to the 283 median target in the near term, and possibly toward 325 over a longer horizon if macro conditions and internal execution cooperate.

If you’d like, I can tailor a more quantitative model (DCF, dividend discount, or an earnings- multiple framework) using the provided inputs to generate alternative price-path scenarios (base, bull, bear) and attach corresponding probability-weighted targets.

Chart is loading...