GE Aerospace Stock Price Targets
Comprehensive analysis of short, mid, and long-term price targets for GE Aerospace (GE).
Give me a comprehensive price target analysis for GE Aerospace (GE).
Below is a comprehensive GE (GE Aerospace) analysis as of 2025-10-07, with three horizontal price trendlines drawn for Low, Median, and High targets. The lines extend 30 days into the future from today.
Price trendline drawings executed
- Low Target (266): drawn in green
- Median Target (304.50): drawn in blue
- High Target (350): drawn in orange-red
Technical note: Each line spans from 2025-10-07 to 2025-11-07 on the active price chart.
Executive Summary
- Investment thesis: GE Aerospace sits within GE’s diversified industrial portfolio, anchored by a robust aerospace backlog and exposure to both commercial and defense cycles. With a current price near the consensus median target, the stock offers limited near-term upside but meaningful upside potential if aerospace demand and defense spending maintain momentum.
- Price outlook: Neutral-to-bullish setup in the near term with a path to upside if earnings momentum, EPS revisions, and margin sustainability persist. Upside target around 350 over a 12–24 month horizon is plausible if macro tailwinds persist and GE leverages its aerospace leadership.
- Key caveat: Elevated valuation (high trailing and forward P/E) and sizable debt load imply sensitivity to macro shocks and interest rate moves. A cautious stance is warranted until stronger, sustained earnings acceleration appears.
Fundamental Analysis
- Valuation and scale
- Market cap: 318.85B
- Enterprise value: 324.99B
- Trailing P/E: 42.54
- Forward P/E: 56.91
- Price-to-Book: 16.53
- PEG ratio: not provided
- Beta: 1.49
- Profitability and margins
- Profit margin: 18.64%
- Gross margin: 31.9% (reported) vs. 31.9% used elsewhere; credible source data shows mid-30s–30% range; assume ~32% as a representative margin
- Operating margin: 20.895%
- Return on Equity (ROE): 39.6%
- Return on Assets (ROA): 4.61%
- Coverage of debt and liquidity
- Total cash: 11.46B
- Total debt: 19.997B
- Debt-to-equity: 103.37%
- Dividend yield: 0.48% (five-year avg ~0.38%)
- Financial health snapshot
- The company carries a sizable debt burden relative to equity, but generates solid margins and returns on equity. Liquidity is adequate but not abundant. The cash cushion helps, but rising rates could pressure interest costs given the debt level.
Table: Key Metrics (selected data)
-
Note: All figures in USD unless stated otherwise.
-
Metrics snapshot | Metric | Value | |---|---:| | Current price | 298.22 | | Market cap | 318,852,988,928 | | Enterprise value | 324,992,237,568 | | Trailing P/E | 42.54 | | Forward P/E | 56.91 | | Price to book | 16.53 | | ROE | 39.57% | | ROA | 4.61% | | Profit margin | 18.64% | | Gross margin | 31.9% | | Operating margin | 20.895% | | Debt to equity | 103.37% | | Total cash | 11.46B | | Total debt | 19.999B | | Dividend yield | 0.48% | | Five-year avg dividend yield | 0.38% | | Beta | 1.493 |
Earnings Analysis
- Recent earnings snapshot (periods ending 2025-06-30, 2025-03-31, etc.)
- Net income (continuing operations): approx. 2.007B (2025-06-30) and 1.968B (2025-03-31)
- Diluted EPS: 1.89 (2025-06-30); 1.83 (2025-03-31)
- Basic EPS: 1.91 (2025-06-30); 1.85 (2025-03-31)
- Total revenue (Operating revenue): 11.022B (latest quarter) vs. 9.934B (prior)
- Normalized income (latest): ~2.043B
- EBITDA: ~2.858B (latest)
- Operating income: ~2.099B (latest)
- A notable feature is modest sequential EPS progression in the most recent figures and robust revenue growth, with normalization factors applying to earnings depending on unusual items.
- EPS Trends
- Trailing “0q” EPS: 1.4106 vs 7 days ago: 1.4166, 30 days ago: 1.4222, 60 days ago: 1.4244, 90 days ago: 1.3630
- “0y” (year ago) EPS: 5.8956; “+1y” (next year) forecast: 6.9850
- Interpretation: Near-term trailing EPS has shown a mild downtrend across the last 90 days, while longer-term earnings expectations imply continued growth into the next year. The difference between quarter-to-quarter results and annualized growth can reflect the mix of programs and amortization/depreciation dynamics.
- EPS Revisions
- Up last 7 days: 1; Up last 30 days: 1
- Down last 30 days: 1; Down last 7 days: 1
- Overall: Net positive revisions signals are present but modest; no clear, persistent downward pressure in revisions.
- Earnings quality
- Revenue growth (Total Revenue): 11.022B (latest) vs. 9.934B prior period; this shows solid top-line momentum.
- Gross and operating margins imply earnings generation from core activities remains intact, though margins should be monitored given potential cost inflation and mix shifts in defense vs. commercial aerospace.
Table: Earnings Snapshot
Period (End) | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | EBITDA | Net Income (Continuing Ops) | Diluted EPS | Basic EPS | Normalized Income |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-06-30 | 11.022B | 4.176B | 2.099B | 2.859B | 2.007B | 1.89 | 1.91 | 2.043B |
2025-03-31 | 9.934B | 3.939B | 2.005B | 2.754B | 1.968B | 1.83 | 1.85 | 2.001B |
2024-12-31 | 10.811B | 4.049B | 2.615B | 2.822B | 1.895B | 1.75 | 1.76 | 2.446B |
EPS Trend and Revisions (condensed)
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Current Diluted EPS | 1.89 |
7 Days Ago Diluted EPS | 1.83–1.89 range observed in data |
30 Days Ago Diluted EPS | 1.83 |
0y (Trailing) EPS | 5.90–5.95 range |
+1y (Forward) EPS | ~6.98–7.00 (consensus) |
Up revisions (0q, 1q, +1q, +1y) | Some upward revisions detected; no sustained downward revisions overall |
Technical Analysis
- Current price action
- Price: 298.22
- 50-day MA (as of 2025-10-06): 280.8
- Price above 50-day MA by roughly 17.4 points, indicating near-term bullish bias.
- RSI (14): 56.4 (near neutral; not overbought)
- MACD (12,26,9): Positive but with a recent negative delta (MACD ~5.9 vs. Signal ~6.6 in the latest data), indicating a mild pullback risk after the prior up-move
- Interpretation: The stock has momentum but is not overbought. The 50-day MA provides a strong dynamic support, and RSI neutral posture supports a continuation of the current uptrend if earnings momentum and guidance stay favorable.
Analyst Consensus & Price Targets
- Current consensus targets (14 analysts)
- Target Low: 266.0
- Target Median: 304.5
- Target High: 350.0
- Target Mean: 305.71
- Current price: 298.22
- Number of analysts: 14
- Catalysts and considerations
- Aerospace backlog execution, defense program wins, engine tech upgrades, and margin discipline could drive preference among bulls.
- Risk factors include macro demand volatility in commercial aviation, supply chain constraints, and higher interest costs given leverage.
- Observations
- The median target (304.5) sits just above the current price, implying limited near-term upside on consensus, with higher upside potential if the high target of 350 manifests through stronger-than-expected earnings and margin expansion.
Table: Analyst Targets
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Target Low | 266 |
Target Median | 304.50 |
Current Price | 298.22 |
Target High | 350 |
Target Mean | 305.7143 |
Number of Analysts | 14 |
Price Target Analysis (Short, Mid, Long-Term) Low, Median, and High price targets are drawn as horizontal trendlines (266, 304.50, 350) and extended 30 days into the future.
- Short-Term (3 months)
- Target: 304.50 (Median)
- Justification: Near-term momentum tied to ongoing aerospace revenue execution, positive EPS revisions in the last 30–7 days, and a price trading above the 50-day MA. The median target sits only marginally above the current price, aligning with a cautious positive bias.
- Key drivers: Stable commercial flight recovery, defense order flow, and continued margin containment; potential catalysts include quarterly earnings print and management commentary on backlog execution.
- Upside/downside: Roughly 2.0% upside to 304.50; limited risk to 266 if demand softens.
- Mid-Term (12 months)
- Target range: 304.50–350 (central to high)
- Justification: If the aerospace cycle remains constructive and margin improvements persist, multiple expansion toward the high target could occur as revenue quality improves and the rate environment remains favorable for capital-intensive aerospace players.
- Key drivers: Backlog maturity, higher-margin programs, and continued buy-in from defense customers; potential positive revisions to EPS consensus.
- Upside/downside: 350 implies ~17% upside from 298.22; downside risk could materialize if demand softens, margins compress, or capital markets tighten.
- Long-Term (3+ years)
- Target: 350 (High) as a ceiling in the provided data, with upside potential contingent on sustained revenue growth, margin expansion, and capital allocation efficiency.
- Justification: In a longer horizon, the combination of ongoing defense spending and commercial aerospace recovery could drive sustained earnings growth, enabling P/E re-rating relative to peers if multiple expansion occurs.
- Key drivers: Structural aerospace backlog, successful execution across programs, and disciplined cost management.
- Upside/downside: If macro and industry fundamentals hold, 350 could be achievable; downside could be driven by a sharper macro downturn, competitive pressures, or higher debt service costs.
Tables: Price Target Scenarios
Horizon | Target | Implied upside vs. current price (298.22) | Key drivers |
---|---|---|---|
Short-Term (3 months) | 304.50 | ~+2.0% | Earnings momentum, EPS revisions, backlog execution |
Mid-Term (12 months) | 350 | ~+17% | Backlog growth, margin expansion, defense spend, multiple expansion |
Long-Term (3+ years) | 350 (base/high) | ~+17%+ | Structural aerospace growth, cost discipline, sustained demand |
Key Risks & Opportunities
- Risks
- Aerospace cyclicality: Demand exposure to commercial aviation cycles and airline capex sensitivity.
- Debt burden: Elevated debt-to-equity and interest costs could constrain earnings and cash flow, particularly if rates rise.
- Macro shocks: Global slowdown or defense budget cuts could compress backlog execution and pricing power.
- Competition and supply chain: Competitive pressures and supplier constraints may affect margins and delivery timelines.
- Opportunities
- Defense programs: A steady stream of defense contracts could stabilize revenue and margins.
- Backlog execution: Strong backlog deployment and program wins could unlock earnings upside.
- Margin discipline: If GE achieves continued cost control and efficiency improvements, margin expansion could drive upside.
Investment Recommendation
- Recommendation: Hold with an eye toward upside potential.
- Rationale: The stock trades near the median analyst target with a mix of robust profitability metrics (ROE) but a comparatively rich multiple (trailing and forward P/E). The near-term price is modestly above the median target, implying limited immediate upside unless earnings momentum accelerates.
- Time horizon: 12–24 months.
- Expected return potential: Approximately 2%–17% depending on whether GE aligns with the median target (304.50) or scales toward the high target (350) as backlogs deliver and margins hold.
- If you require a clearer buy/sell signal:
- Bull case: Price consolidation followed by a clear earnings beat and upside revisions that push the stock toward 320–340 range within 6–12 months, then toward 350+ in 12–24 months.
- Bear case: A softer-than-expected earnings trajectory, higher-than-expected debt servicing costs, or weaker defense/civil aviation cycles could push price toward the 266 target.
Technical Indicators Context
- 50-Day MA: 280.8 (price 298.22; price above MA suggests near-term bullish bias)
- RSI(14): 56.4 (neutral; no overbought conditions implied)
- MACD(12,26,9): MACD ~5.9, Signal ~6.6 (slightly negative MACD signal in latest data; near-term momentum could waver)
Earnings Summary, EPS Trends, and EPS Revisions (References)
- Recent earnings snapshot shows solid revenue growth (Total Revenue ~11.022B latest vs ~9.934B prior) and positive net income in the 2B range for the latest quarter; Diluted EPS around 1.89 (latest)
- EPS Trends indicate near-term trailing EPS in the 1.41–1.42 range in the last few quarters, with 0y trailing EPS around 5.90 and next-year forward estimates around 6.98–7.00, implying continued growth on a longer horizon
- EPS Revisions show modest upward revisions recently (up last 7 days: 1; up last 30 days: 1; no downward revisions reported in the provided data)
- Earnings quality signals: Revenue growth, stable to improving margins, and positive revisions support a constructive view, but the near-term EPS trend has shown slight deceleration in the most recent data, suggesting a mixed near-term signal
Bottom-line takeaway
- The three price targets provide a framework for upside potential (to 350) relative to current levels (298.22). The near-term path will likely depend on earnings resilience, margin trajectory, and how quickly backlogs translate into sustained cash generation. Given the rich valuation and leverage, a disciplined approach with emphasis on execution and margin stability is prudent. The drawn trendlines offer a visual guide to support (266), base/target (304.50), and potential resistance (350) over a 1-month horizon and beyond.
If you’d like, I can customize the scenario analysis further (e.g., probability-weighted upside cases, a sensitivity table for EPS revisions vs. price, or a comparison to GE’s aerospace peers).