The Walt Disney Company Stock Price Targets
Comprehensive analysis of short, mid, and long-term price targets for The Walt Disney Company (DIS).
Give me a comprehensive price target analysis for The Walt Disney Company (DIS).
Here is a comprehensive DIS analysis with the requested price-target plotting and a data-driven investment view. The horizontal lines for price targets have been drawn and extended 30 days into the future.
Trendlines drawn
- Low Target (79.00): color #00B050 (green) — extended from 2025-10-10 to 2025-11-09
- Median Target (138.00): color #FFA500 (orange) — extended from 2025-10-10 to 2025-11-09
- High Target (160.00): color #FF0000 (red) — extended from 2025-10-10 to 2025-11-09
Technical appendix: status of lines
- Line IDs and endpoints are in the drawing logs:
- Low: 79.00 (DIS), 2025-10-10 to 2025-11-09
- Median: 138.00 (DIS), 2025-10-10 to 2025-11-09
- High: 160.00 (DIS), 2025-10-10 to 2025-11-09
Now, the full analysis.
Executive Summary
- Investment thesis: The Walt Disney Company (DIS) remains a diversified entertainment conglomerate with: a recovering theme-park portfolio and cruise/experiential business, a stabilized content/franchise-driven film and TV slate, and ongoing but restructured streaming economics. The stock trades at a modest multiple (trailing P/E around 17x, forward P/E around 21.6x) with a sub-1% dividend yield, implying modest income upside versus growth optionality from park/cinema/franchise monetization and streaming profitability improvements. Near-term catalysts include improving operating leverage in Parks & Experiences and a steady-to-improving content slate; valuation implies meaningful upside if EPS trends re-accelerate and market expectations move higher.
- Base case stance: Hold to patient Open-Ended with 12–24 month upside potential driven by continued improvement in operating margins, rebounding park attendance, and a stabilizing streaming economics. Upside risk is balanced by modest-yet-stable cash generation and ongoing buybacks/dividend support.
Fundamental Analysis
Key quantitative metrics (as provided)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current price | 110.99 |
| Market cap | $199.55B |
| Enterprise value | $242.68B |
| Trailing P/E | 17.40x |
| Forward P/E | 21.55x |
| PEG ratio | N/A |
| Price to book | 1.83x |
| ROE | 11.46% |
| ROA | 4.52% |
| Profit margin | 12.22% |
| Gross margin | 37.61% |
| Operating margin | 15.70% |
| Debt to equity | 37.15% |
| Total cash | $6.37B |
| Total debt | $42.26B |
| Dividend yield | 0.89% |
| Five-year avg dividend yield | 1.38% |
| Beta | 1.54 |
Observations:
- Disney’s leverage remains moderate, with a debt-to-equity ratio around the mid-30s. Cash generation appears solid, though cash reserves are not a large cushion relative to debt when debt maturities shift.
- Valuation sits in a reasonable band for a diversified media/entertainment house with a visible path to earnings leverage, albeit with cyclicality in parks and streaming costs.
- The dividend yield trails its five-year average, underlining the balance between capital return and capex/streaming investment needs.
Earnings Analysis
Recent Earnings Summary (selected quarters)
| Quarter | Net Income | Diluted EPS | EBITDA | EBIT | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | $5.262B | $2.92 | $4.981B | $3.645B | $23.65B |
| 2025-03-31 | $3.275B | $1.81 | $4.882B | $3.558B | $23.621B |
| 2024-12-31 | $2.554B | $1.40 | $5.423B | $4.147B | $24.69B |
Key takeaways:
- Net income and diluted EPS surged in 2025-06-30 versus 2025-03-31, reflecting improved operational performance and/or favorable items, with normalization continuing from 2024-year-end levels.
- EBITDA remained robust across these periods and declined slightly into 2025-03-31 before rebounding in 2025-06-30, indicating solid operating cash generation even as some items vary quarter-to-quarter.
- Revenue remained roughly in the low-to-mid $23B range over these quarters, consistent with a large, diversified franchise ecosystem.
EPS Trend (selected)
| Period | Current | 7 days ago | 30 days ago | 60 days ago | 90 days ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0q (diluted EPS) | 2.92 | 1.81 | 1.81? (approx) | 1.78 | 1.74 |
| +1q | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.74 |
| 0y | 5.88 | 5.87 | 5.87 | 5.86 | 5.76 |
| +1y | 6.47 | 6.46 | 6.46 | 6.46 | 6.29 |
Note: EPS trend data mix includes trailing and forward-looking context; the headline takeaways are: near-term EPS is solid but volatile quarter-to-quarter, with stronger multi-year comps implied by the 0y and +1y lines.
EPS Revisions (upgrades/downgrades in horizon)
| Horizon | Up Last 7 Days | Up Last 30 Days | Down Last 30 Days | Down Last 7 Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0q | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| +1q | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 0y | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| +1y | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Interpretation:
- Near term (0q) has modest upgrades but more downgrades, suggesting some near-term caution.
- Medium horizon (0y) shows stronger upgrade activity (2+2 upgrades vs 1 downgrade), indicating improving sentiment for the next year.
- Long-term ( +1y ) shows limited upward revisions and several downgrades, highlighting uncertainty about multi-year growth despite a favorable target path.
Technical indicators (last 60 days)
- 50-Day Moving Average (latest): around 115.5
- Latest close (2025-10-09): 111.0
- Interpretation: The stock is currently trading below the 50-day MA, suggesting near-term softness or a retest of support near the moving average.
- RSI (14): latest ~36.1
- Interpretation: RSI in the lower half of the range indicates modest-bearish momentum but not extreme oversell (below 30 would be oversold).
- MACD (12,26,9): latest MACD ~ -1.2, Signal ~ -1.1
- Interpretation: Bearish momentum is present but not extreme; watching for any bullish cross (MACD line crossing above the signal) would be a potential near-term bullish signal.
Technical Analysis takeaway:
- Price at 111 vs. a ~115.5 50-day MA indicates a near-term underperformance relative to trend. Momentum indicators show a cautious, somewhat bearish stance, with a potential for a bounce if the stock finds support near the ~$110–113 area and if the 50-day MA acts as a springboard.
Analyst Consensus & Price Targets
- Current price: 110.99
- Number of analysts: 29
- Target High / Low / Median / Mean:
- High: 160.00
- Low: 79.00
- Median: 138.00
- Mean: 133.97
- Current consensus implies upside potential versus the current price, with a fairly wide target range reflecting different views on Parks, Content/Streaming, and Studio franchises.
- The price target range implies roughly:
- From current price: +19% to +44% for a median-to-high scenario (138–160)
- From current price to Low: -29% risk implied in a downside scenario (79)
Key catalysts and drivers:
- Parks & Experiences rebound: attendance growth, pricing optimization, and cost management can meaningfully lift margins.
- Studio/Film slate: a compelling slate of tentpole releases and franchise-driven content can support streaming and licensing leverage.
- Streaming economics: progression toward profitability and higher contribution from select franchises may improve margin trajectory.
- Broadcast/ESPN/licensing: continued monetization across distribution platforms and advertising growth can bolster near-term revenue reliability.
Price Target Analysis (Short, Mid, Long-Term)
- Current price: 110.99
- Implied targets from data:
- Low Target: 79.00
- Median Target: 138.00
- High Target: 160.00
- Short-Term (3 months): Target 138.00
- Justification: Market consensus positions the median target around 138, suggesting a reasonable near-term re-rating if earnings momentum improves and sentiment toward Parks/Streaming normalizes. Key drivers include: improving quarterly earnings cadence (some quarters show sharply higher EPS; see EPS trend), stabilization in streaming profitability, and continued park/cinema recovery.
- Potential drivers: quarterly earnings strength, better-than-expected park visitation, content slate success, and favorable licensing/advertising dynamics.
- Mid-Term (12 months): Target ~150.00
- Justification: With forward earnings multiple support (forward P/E of ~21.6x) and an expanding multiple as visibility on Parks/Awards/Franchises increases, mid-term upside to mid-150s is plausible if revenue/margin expansion continues and EPS revisions trend positive.
- Potential drivers: stronger year-over-year growth in EPS, successful releases, higher park/DC revenue growth, and improved margins in both Parks and Studio segments.
- Long-Term (3+ years): Target 160.00 (upper bound from consensus)
- Justification: The long-term upside hinges on durable streaming economics, continued content monetization, franchise value, and a stable cash-flow cycle from Parks. If operating leverage improves and debt levels stabilize with a healthy capital return framework, a sustained re-rating toward the high end of the analyst range (around 160) would be consistent with a multi-year growth path.
- Potential drivers: durable margin expansion, content/IP monetization, sustained park demand, and disciplined capital return.
Key Risks & Opportunities
- Risks:
- Streaming margin volatility given competition and subscriber growth dynamics.
- Attendance/consumer discretionary risk for Parks given macro headwinds or timing of content slate successes.
- Debt leverage and refinancing risk if interest rates remain elevated or cash generation underperforms.
- Adverse changes in licensing agreements or content costs.
- Opportunities:
- Leverage of a strong IP library across parks, streaming, and film/TV licensing.
- Operational leverage as occupancy, pricing, and efficiency improve in Parks.
- Potential upside from better-than-expected slate wins and licensing/performance-driven revenue.
Investment Recommendation
- Stance: Hold with a bias toward upgrading to Buy if near-term momentum improves materially (earnings trajectory, streaming profitability, and park demand stabilizes).
- Time horizon: 12–24 months
- Expected return potential: Approximately +20% to +40% in a favorable scenario (toward the 138–160 price targets) depending on the pace of margin expansion, earnings revisions, and reopening of park/cinema demand.
Price targets and financial metrics in perspective
- The current price (~111) sits below the 50-day MA (~115.5) with a tepid RSI (~36) and a modestly negative MACD, indicating a potential near-term trough or consolidation before a reversion to the mean if fundamentals align with the improvement in EPS trends and the market re-prices the forward earnings.
- Analyst targets present a clear path of upside relative to today, with a median target of 138 and a high target of 160, implying 24%–44% upside potential on a 12-month view if earnings momentum, streaming profitability, and park visitation continue to improve.
Notes on data provenance
- Price targets: Low 79, Median 138, High 160 from the provided analyst dataset.
- Current price and fundamental metrics: sourced from the user-provided data block.
- Earnings and EPS figures: drawn from the Recent Earnings Summary, EPS Trend, and EPS Revisions blocks provided.
- Technical indicators: pulled from the 50-day MA, RSI, and MACD blocks provided; the latest values indicate a near-term softness with potential for a rebound if catalysts materialize.
If you’d like, I can export this as a shareable report (PDF/markdown) or tailor the price-target framework to specific scenarios (e.g., a bull case with higher park attendance or a bear case with delayed release slate).