ASML Holding N.V. Stock Price Targets
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Stock Price Targets & Analysis
Comprehensive analysis of short, mid, and long-term price targets for ASML Holding N.V. (ASML).
Give me a comprehensive price target analysis for ASML Holding N.V. (ASML).
I have successfully plotted the horizontal trendlines for ASML's low target at $598.60, median target at $849.86, and high target at $974.71. These lines extend 30 days into the future from today (August 18, 2025), illustrating key support and resistance levels for upcoming trading periods.
Executive Summary
ASML exhibits a robust growth trajectory driven by its leadership in photolithography technology, essential for semiconductor manufacturing. Current valuation metrics reflect a healthy balance between growth potential and valuation, with a positive earnings trend and technical indicators supporting a medium-term bullish outlook. The stock appears positioned for potential appreciation toward its median and high price targets, contingent upon continued industry demand and technology advancements.
Fundamental Analysis
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Price | $742.16 |
| Market Cap | $296.07 billion |
| Enterprise Value | $284.0 billion |
| P/E (Trailing) | 26.32 |
| P/B | 16.32 |
| ROE | 58.2% |
| Profit Margins | 29.3% |
| Gross Margins | 52.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 21.0% |
| Total Cash | ~$7.25 billion |
| Total Debt | ~$3.70 billion |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| Beta | 1.25 |
ASML’s valuation metrics indicate a premium, justified by its strong profitability, high margins, and industry dominance.
Earnings Analysis
- Recent Earnings Performance: Consistent revenue and EBITDA growth over the last reported quarters.
- EPS Trends: EPS has demonstrated an upward trajectory, from approximately 3.11 to 6+ over the past year, reflecting improved profitability.
- EPS Revisions: Recent analyst revisions suggest upward consensus, with more upgrades than downgrades over the past 30 days.
- Earnings Quality: Revenue has steadily increased, margins remain high, and profitability remains sustainable, supported by ongoing R&D investments.
Technical Analysis
- Current price action is slightly above the 50-day moving average (~$735), indicating short-term support.
- RSI (~55), suggests balanced momentum, neither overbought nor oversold.
- MACD signals a potential bullish crossover, supporting an upward move.
Analyst Consensus & Price Targets
| Target Type | Price | Number of Analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Median | $849.86 | 12 |
| Mean | $842.01 | 12 |
| High | $974.71 | 12 |
| Low | $598.60 | 12 |
The consensus outlook points toward a favorable appreciation potential.
Price Target Analysis
- Short-Term (3 months): The current price (
$742) is below the median target ($850), suggesting limited near-term corrections or consolidation before potential upward movement driven by industry demand. - Mid-Term (12 months): The stock could approach the median target (~$850), supported by earnings momentum, industry growth, and positive analyst revisions.
- Long-Term (3+ years): Sustained industry leadership and technological innovation could push prices toward the high target (~$975), representing significant appreciation potential.
Key Risks & Opportunities
- Risks: Supply chain disruptions, technological competition, geopolitical tensions, or downturns in semiconductor demand.
- Opportunities: Market share expansion, technological breakthroughs, industry-wide chip demand surge, and infrastructure investments.
Investment Recommendation
- Horizon: Mid to long-term, 12-24 months.
- Rating: Buy, given the growth prospects, technical momentum, and supportive analyst sentiment.
- Expected Return: Potential appreciation from ~$742 to ~$975 aligns with upside targets, factoring in industry trends and company fundamentals.
Overall, ASML remains a compelling investment with substantial upside, supported by strong earnings, technical strength, and industry leadership.