Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Technical Analysis

January 4, 2026

Price Action Analysis

Overview

  • The recent price action for AMZN has been range-bound and consolidative on the daily chart, with a narrow intraday trading band roughly between the mid-220s and mid-230s. The price currently sits near the lower end of that range.
  • On the weekly chart, the longer-term context remains constructive, as the stock has traded above longer-term baselines and shows prior higher highs in 2024–2025, suggesting the intermediate-term uptrend remains intact despite the current consolidation.
  • The most recent daily candles show mixed to modestly bearish intraday pressure: a broad range with closes near the middle of the day’s range. This points to indecision rather than a decisive breakout in the near term.
  • After a run higher into late December 2025, price pulled back but found immediate support near the 225–227 area. There is no clear, decisive breakout yet beyond that zone.

Candlestick structure and patterns

  • No obvious, clean continuation pattern (e.g., strong breakout from a well-defined triangle or flag) has formed in the most recent sessions.
  • The sequence shows alternating green/red days with shrinking daily ranges—consistent with a pause or owner-to-owner distribution in a tight waffle around current levels.
  • The most actionable feature is the proximity to a notable short‑term support area (~225–227) that coincides with recent intraday lows.

Volume behavior

  • Volume has been drifting within a typical range for AMZN in this consolidation phase, with occasional spikes on pullbacks or reversals in prior weeks. There is no sustained, high-volume breakout above the recent range, which reinforces the view of a sideways-to-mid-term neutral stance rather than a fresh impulse move.
  • A few volume spikes in late 2025 aligned with more decisive price moves, but the latest sessions show muted participation relative to those spikes.

Key near-term levels (summary)

  • The price is trading below the near-term resistance implied by the 50-day moving average, and above the longer-term 200-day moving average, signaling a mixed momentum stance.

Trendline context from the drawn lines

  • Support line at approximately $226.50 (around the current price level) to delineate the near-term floor of the range.
  • Resistance line at approximately $233.00 (near-term cap).
  • Higher resistance line at approximately $240.00 (upper bound of the recent longer-term swing).

Notes on current posture

  • The immediate takeaway is that AMZN remains in a delicate balance: the short-term trend is not convincingly higher, but the longer-term trend remains positive as price sits above the 200-day baseline. A sustained move beyond the $233–$235 zone would be a meaningful near-term bullish signal; failure to hold the $226–227 zone would risk renewed consolidation or a test toward the next lower major support.

Technical Indicators

MetricValueInterpretation
Current Price$226.50Near-term setup: within a tight range, just above the short-term support cluster.
50-day MA$231.50Price is below the 50-day MA, indicating short-term softness relative to the recent intermediate trend.
200-day MA$217.00Price is above the 200-day MA, indicating an underlying longer-term bullish context.
RSI (14)43.1Neutral to mildly bearish; no oversold condition, but momentum is not strong on the upside.
MACD Line0.10Slight positive momentum, but still modest.
MACD Signal-0.20MACD line still above the signal by a small margin; histogram ~ +0.30 indicates light bullish momentum.
MACD Histogram0.30Positive, but not large; momentum is modest and not decisively bullish.

Observations

  • The combination of price below the 50-day MA but above the 200-day MA suggests a mixed momentum regime: near-term softness with longer-term support intact.
  • RSI around 43 indicates air for a potential bounce if prices stabilize and demand returns, while MACD remains modestly positive but not strongly so.
  • The technical setup favors a cautious stance until price allocates a clear break above the 50-day MA zone or a convincing test of the lower support breaks.

Volume & Momentum Analysis

  • Volume during the current consolidation is generally average, with occasional spikes tied to notable intraday reversals in prior weeks. There is no sustained increase in volume that accompanies a decisive breakout from the current range.
  • The near-term momentum signals are modestly constructive but not robust:
    • MACD has toggled into a positive region but remains near zero, signaling that buyers and sellers are roughly balanced.
    • RSI at roughly 43 implies room to move higher before becoming overbought, suggesting a potential bounce if price holds the 225–227 support and the market participants re-engage.
  • Overall, the volume and momentum picture supports a wait-and-see stance: no strong conviction behind a breakout yet, but the deck remains favorable for a shallow rebound if price can reclaim the 231–233 area with accompanying volume.

Key Buy/Sell Levels

  • I have drawn three horizontal trendlines to visualize key reference levels:
    • Support zone line: around $226.50 (near current price; acts as near-term floor).
    • Near-term resistance line: around $233.00 (overhead barrier to upside in the next moves).
    • Higher resistance line: around $240.00 (upper cap from the recent swing; a break beyond this level would confirm a stronger upmove).

Buy zone proposals (current price context used to assess touch status and distances)

  • Buy Zone A: 225–227

    • Has it been touched? Yes. The current price sits within this zone.
    • Distance from current price if not touched: N/A (already touched).
    • Rationale: This is the near-term support cluster that aligns with the drawn trendline and the recent intraday lows. A bounce from this zone would validate a constructive short-term setup and could target the 233 area on a follow-through with volume.
  • Buy Zone B: 217–219

    • Has it been touched? No.
    • Distance from current price (226.50):
      • To top of zone (219): ~ $7.50 below current price (approximately 3.3%)
      • To bottom of zone (217): ~ $9.50 below current price (approximately 4.2%)
    • Rationale: This area corresponds to the longer-term baseline around the 200-day MA and provides a deeper cushion if the market weakens. A successful test and reversal from this zone with rising volume would imply a more durable bottoming process and potential move back toward 233–235.
  • Buy Zone C (for breakout entry): 235–238

    • Has it been touched? No.
    • Distance from current price (226.50):
      • To 238: ~ $11.50 above current price (approximately 5.0%)
    • Rationale: A clean reclaim and close above the 50-day MA (around 231.5) with confirming price action and volume would make this zone a viable breakout target. A break through 238–240 would open the path toward the next major swing highs.

How these levels align with technical references

  • The 225–227 zone aligns with the immediate price floor and the drawn support line, and sits near the prior intraday swing low, reinforcing its legitimacy as a short-term decision point.
  • The 233–235 area intersects with the 50-day MA and represents an important psychological and technical resistance level; a move beyond this zone would signal potential momentum accumulation.
  • The 217–219 region is consistent with the 200-day MA and prior consolidation baselines; it offers a logical retracement target where longer-term buyers might re-emerge if support holds.
  • Volume context around these levels matters: a rebound from 225–227 with rising volume would be a stronger bullish confirmation than a low-volume bounce.

Trendline usage note

  • The horizontal lines around 226.50, 233.00, and 240.00 are placed to reflect current price action, important moving averages, and historic breakout zones. They are intended to guide interpretation of support/resistance in near-term trading, while remaining flexible for future price action.

Technical Outlook & Summary

  • Trend context:

    • Short-term: Slightly negative to neutral, with price under the 50-day MA and in a consolidating range around 226.50.
    • Medium-to-long term: Positive, given price remains above the 200-day MA and the longer-term uptrend remains intact.
  • Key signals:

    • Price below the 50-day MA suggests near-term headwinds unless the 231.5 level can be reclaimed with follow-through buying.
    • RSI at 43 indicates room for a bounce but no immediate overbought risk; MACD shows modest positive momentum, but not a strong breakout signal yet.
  • Trade ideas:

    • Base case (neutral to constructive): Look for a managed bounce from the 225–227 support zone with increasing volume, targeting a move back toward 233–235. A solid daily close above 233 with volume support would improve the probability of test of 240+.
    • Cautious case (bearish risk): A break below the 225–227 zone with increasing selling volume could push toward the 217–219 band (200-day MA area) and re‑test 210–215 if selling accelerates.
  • Overall assessment:

    • The chart shows a constructive longer-term backdrop with a current, healthy pause. The immediate priority is to see whether price can reclaim the 50-day MA and push through 233–235. Until that occurs, expect a choppy, range-bound environment with a slight bias to the upside only upon a sustained breakout with volume confirmation.

If you’d like, I can re-check after the next session to adjust the levels and update the trendlines based on any new price action and volume shifts.

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