Apple Inc. (AAPL) Technical Analysis & Key Levels

In-depth technical analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL): trend structure, support and resistance levels, MA50/MA200 alignment, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and 52-week high/low. Updated 2025-09-21.

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Provide a pure technical analysis for Apple Inc. (AAPL). Focus on trend, support/resistance, MA crossovers, RSI and MACD. Draw horizontal lines for Support and resistance.

Technical Analysis – Apple Inc. (AAPL)

Date context: 2025-09-21 Current price (for reference): 245.50

Key references used (from the provided series)

  • 52-Week High: 259.18
  • 52-Week Low: 168.80
  • MA(50) around 223.80; MA(200) around 221.20 (price currently well above both)
  • RSI(14) near 64.4 (14-day horizon, not overbought)
  • MACD(12,26,9): MACD ~4.4 vs Signal ~4.2 on the latest date (positive, slightly expanding histogram)

Technical reading is strictly price-action, momentum, and defined levels without fundamentals.

Technical Analysis

  1. Market structure and trend
  • Short-to-medium term trend: Uptrend established in the last 2–3 months, with higher highs and higher lows evident since late August as price moved from the low-3Q area toward the current high.
  • Recent consolidation: After printing a fresh high near 245.5 in late Sep, price has paused around the 240–246 zone, suggesting a potential test of resistance before another directional move.
  • Price relative to moving averages: Price sits well above MA50 (~223.8) and MA200 (~221.2), reinforcing a bullish backdrop and suggesting any pullbacks would need to reclaim the MA region for continuation.
  1. Momentum
  • RSI(14): 64.4 (latest), indicating positive momentum but not extreme overbought territory; room to run if price can push above prior resistance with volume.
  • MACD (12,26,9): MACD line above Signal line with a positive histogram; recent expansion in histogram hints at ongoing bullish momentum, though not a steep acceleration.
  1. Key levels (horizontal, drawn on chart)
  • Supports: two clear downside anchors derived from recent touchpoints
    • Support 1: 226.8 (earliest clear low in the current window; touched on 2025-09-10)
    • Support 2: 232.1 (earlier intra-range support; first notable touch on 2025-08-29)
  • Resistances: two clear upside anchors derived from multiple touches/peaks
    • Resistance 1: 239.8 (nearest resistance in the current consolidation zone; first clear touch on 2025-09-04)
    • Resistance 2: 245.5 (recent new high on 2025-09-19; strongest near-term ceiling)

Notes on extension: Each horizontal line is extended 100 days forward to reflect the intended projection window and to provide forward context for routine charting.

  1. Key levels (Summary of drawn lines)
  • Support 1 (green): 226.8
    • Earliest touch: 2025-09-10
    • Rationale: Local swing low within the current window; price paused and reversed after testing this level.
  • Support 2 (green): 232.1
    • Earliest touch: 2025-08-29
    • Rationale: Earlier intra-range support that has resisted a clean break on multiple occasions; acts as a second line of defense if 226.8 is breached.
  • Resistance 1 (red): 239.8
    • Earliest touch: 2025-09-04
    • Rationale: First significant ceiling touched as price advanced; multiple attempts to push above this area have faced selling pressure.
  • Resistance 2 (dark red): 245.5
    • Earliest touch: 2025-09-19
    • Rationale: New swing high; key breakout level to watch for a sustained move beyond this zone with volume confirmation.

Note: The 52-Week High/Low (259.18 / 168.80) remain external reference points for context and do not have drawn lines unless needed for a separate reference view.

  1. Scenarios and invalidation levels

Bullish scenario

  • Trigger: Daily close above 245.5 (Resistance 2) with above-average volume, followed by a convincing follow-through day.
  • Invalidation (bearish risk): A close below Support 2 (232.1) after the breakout would prompt reassessment of the breakout’s strength; deeper risk if price breaks below Support 1 (226.8) with momentum fading.

Bearish scenario

  • Trigger: Break of the near-term support cluster, specifically a daily close below 232.1 (Support 2) with rising selling pressure, suggesting a test back toward Support 1 or lower.
  • Invalidation (bullish risk): Reclaim and close back above 239.8 quickly after a test of 232.1, which would support a renewed up-move toward the 245.5 area and beyond.
  1. Practical takeaways
  • The current price structure favors bullish continuation as long as price remains above 232.1 and ideally above 239.8, with a breakout above 245.5 acting as a clear path to renewed upside.
  • The defined supports (226.8, 232.1) serve as robust risk controls for a pullback, while the resistances (239.8, 245.5) define the short-term battle zones for trend continuation.
  • Momentum indicators (RSI and MACD) align with a bullish bias but caution on overextension: anticipate a pause or minor pullback if price cannot sustain above 239.8 and volume remains tepid.

Chart Annotations (Lines drawn)

  • Support 1 (Support 1)

    • Line: 226.8
    • p1.time: 2025-09-10
    • p2.time: 2025-12-19
    • Color: #28a745

  • Support 2 (Support 2)

    • Line: 232.1
    • p1.time: 2025-08-29
    • p2.time: 2025-12-07
    • Color: #2ECC71

  • Resistance 1 (Resistance 1)

    • Line: 239.8
    • p1.time: 2025-09-04
    • p2.time: 2025-12-12
    • Color: #E74C3C

  • Resistance 2 (Resistance 2)

    • Line: 245.5
    • p1.time: 2025-09-19
    • p2.time: 2025-12-28
    • Color: #C0392B

Notes on labels: The chart has been annotated with the labels “Support 1”, “Support 2”, “Resistance 1”, and “Resistance 2” to reflect the four horizontal levels drawn above. The lines extend 100 days forward from the earliest touch to provide forward context.

If you’d like, I can add a brief alternative scenario set (e.g., a tighter stop around 232.1 with a shorter-term target near 239.8, or a longer-term view above 245.5) or adjust the level selections to reflect any alternate interpretation of the recent price touches.

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